1. Stocks rebound yesterday to plug their losing streak, metals pull back
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  2. Good Weds Morning! Gold is down 3 to 1252, while Silver is down 8 to 18.16. Crude is up 27 to 4864. The USD is up 9 to 9964.
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  3. Week of 3/25/2017 Closing prices & Chg Over Last Wk---- Gold $1248.50-- UP 18.30 Silver $17.75-- UP 34 Oil $47.97-- DOWN 134 TICS USD $99.42 -- DOWN 66 tics

Ramblings

Discussion in 'Topical Discussions (In Depth)' started by Scorpio, Feb 5, 2014.



  1. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    might be a heads up, but the dollar peaked at about 102.34, and returned back to 101.77 by the close. That is a pretty decent sell off the top.
     
  2. JayDubya

    JayDubya Gold Chaser Platinum Bling

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    Yellen took office as Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on February 3, 2014, for a four-year term ending February 3, 2018
     
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  3. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Hard to watch but playing out exactly as we stated,

    USD is flying to the up this am, 132 pts !! and now over 103 after the .fed yesterday.

    The spread continues to widen of US paper vs other world paper,

    This is also resulting in metals blowing thru supports and decidedly ugly this am
     
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  4. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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  5. platinumdude

    platinumdude Gold Chaser Platinum Bling

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    You forgot rhodium. It's up big. $60 and has passed palladium.
     
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  6. FoundingFathers

    FoundingFathers Founder Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    The metals pounding will continue until morale is improved.
     
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  7. FoundingFathers

    FoundingFathers Founder Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    The 1/4 pt hike was priced in. What the market is currently digesting is Yellen's comments about the Fed stopping all stimulus (unwinding their balance sheet). They went from holding back on projected rates hikes before the election to now threatening to suck up all liquidity. Her own version of "Draining the Swamp". Some have stated this was an outright declaration of war with the Trump administration. The Fed selling their balance sheet at the time Trump is looking to cut taxes and increase infrastructure spending is a recipe for higher rates and economic implosion.
     
  8. the_shootist

    the_shootist I self identify as a black '69 Camaro Midas Member Site Supporter ++

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    Yep, we're in a war and the only thing left is the shooting! Hold onto your hats folks and keep your hands inside the coaster!
     
    Last edited: Dec 15, 2016
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  9. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    that would be interesting if this degenerated into a all out shooting war of words
     
  10. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Possible Challenges To Traders Today
    – Core CPI m/m is out at 8:30 AM EST. This is major.

    –Philly Fed Manufacturing Index is out at 8:30 AM. This is major.

    –Unemployment Claims is out at 8:30 AM EST. This is major.

    – CPI is out at 8:30 AM EST. This is major.

    – Current Account is out at 8:30 AM EST. This is major.

    –Empire State Manufacturing Index is out at 8:30 AM. This is major.

    –Flash Manufacturing PMI out at 9:45 AM. This is major.

    – NAHB Housing Market Index is out at 10 AM EST. This is major.

    – Natural Gas Storage is out at 10:30 AM EST. This is major.

    –TIC Long-Term Purchases is out at 4 PM EST. This is major
     
  11. the_shootist

    the_shootist I self identify as a black '69 Camaro Midas Member Site Supporter ++

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    If Trump is smart (which I believe he is) he'll hold his cards close until (I should say IF) he's sworn in. He has no formal power as of yet and he knows he'll be in a better position when (IF) he's actually POTUS
     
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  12. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    Me thinks the coming battle will make the "hanging chad" debacle & farce appear rather tame. As you stated, "IF he is sworn in!" The MSM is pouring the Russian hack myth on full steam ahead!

    Edit: IMO Hillary is a vote to make somekindof war (economic or hot) with Russia/Iran, Trump is a vote to make war (economic or hot) with China/Saudis....
     
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  13. the_shootist

    the_shootist I self identify as a black '69 Camaro Midas Member Site Supporter ++

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    I can't wait to see the cities melt down on CNN....will make the Gulf war look like a circus
     
  14. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    NAHB's traffic gauge surges into positive territory for first time in a decade in December
    10:00a
    Home builder confidence soars to 70 in December, highest since July 2005, NAHB says


    Markit: Manufacturing PMI hits 21-month high during December
    9:46a
    Flash U.S. manufacturing PMI edges up to 54.2 in December
     
  15. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Dollar surges after Fed’s signal for more interest-rate hikes
    By James Glynn and Rachel Koning Beals
    Published: Dec 15, 2016 7:25 a.m. ET







    Dollar at highest level against yen since February


    [​IMG] Shutterstock.com
    The U.S. dollar was sharply higher Thursday, with the yen hardest hit after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its first interest-rate increase of 2016 and signaled it expects to hike rates in 2017 more aggressively, and sooner, than previously anticipated.

    The reaction pushed the U.S. dollar to its highest levels since February against the yen, with broad gains also posted against the euro and other major rivals.

    Fed officials on Wednesday increased the federal-funds rate by a quarter percentage point to between 0.50% and 0.75%, a move consistent with a brightening economic outlook.

    The Fed now expects the median fed-funds rate to be 1.4% by the end of 2017, reaching 2.1% at the end of 2018 and 2.9% in 2019. That implies three quarter-percentage-point interest-rate increases in each of the next three years, a faster pace than officials projected in September, when they only saw two rate increases next year.

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/do...r-asian-currencies-after-feds-move-2016-12-14
     
  16. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    talk on the street is parity with zero by next spring or early next year
     
  17. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Natty goes from down in sympathy with crude to positive after big draw in gas inventories,

    crude continues to flop after breaking 50 earlier, now just above that major psychological level

    the dollar is the headwind for them as the buck continues to catch a strong bid with no letup
     
  18. 90%RealMoney

    90%RealMoney Midas Member Midas Member

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    Left Flank, Oceana...Locked and Loaded!
    I hear Japan just legalized gambling in their country. I guess they have finally tired of decades of stagnation. Or their just looking for more easy revenue.
     
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  19. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    Yep, war is coming!

    China should plan to take Taiwan by force after Trump call, state media says

    Global Times says Beijing should ‘punish militarily’ any moves to undermine One China policy – which US president-elect has said he might not uphold

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/15/china-plan-taiwan-force-trump-call-state-media

    East China Sea islands dispute threatens to become new flashpoint between Japan and China

    http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2016-...pute-senkaku-diaoyu-islands-ownership/7827430

    Militarization of Japan sign of Asia turning inwards

    http://mediarelations.cornell.edu/2016/09/01/militarization-of-japan-sign-of-asia-turning-inwards/


    The Militarization of the European Union

    http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/ALI307A.html
     
    Last edited: Dec 15, 2016
  20. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    email inboxes getting flooded with metal dealers hawking their wares,

    speaking to the massive price flops, and now is the time to buy, buy, buy
     
  21. 90%RealMoney

    90%RealMoney Midas Member Midas Member

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    That means we're headed considerably lower.
     
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  22. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    Remembering the Japanese internment camps on mainland U.S.A. circa WWII, today in the U.S. & Australia they are called FEMA Camps.... in the E.U. they're calling them "internment camps."

    Trump Camp’s Talk of Registry and Japanese Internment Raises Muslims’ Fears

    http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/11/18/us/politics/japanese-internment-muslim-registry.html

    map of internment camps in Europe - noborder.org (pdf)

    http://www.noborder.org/files/040719eu_camps_map.pdf

    The U.S., Australia & E.U. .govs ALL have constructed the equivalents of FEMA "internment" Camps. WHY???
     
  23. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    The Swedish government has called on the local governments through an official letter to them to better prepare for a possible aggression now tensions with Russia rise further in the region. It reports the Swedish newspaper Svenska

    http://www.svd.se/msbs-brev-till-samtliga-kommuner-rusta-for-krig/om/det-skarpta-sakerhetslaget

    The strategy is to defend the country by taking military precautions and to strengthen civil protection.

    http://m.hln.be/hln/nl/960/Buitenla...alle-gemeenten-Bereid-je-voor-op-oorlog.dhtml

    Sweden is 'preparing for war' with Russia: Officials are ordered to return to Cold War tactics and implement their Total Defence Strategy as fears of invasion grow

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ucture-ready-fear-Russian-invasion-grows.html

    Sweden tells municipalities to prepare for war
    Published time: 14 Dec, 2016 15:41

    https://www.rt.com/news/370290-sweden-prepare-possible-war/
     
  24. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    JP Morgan May Take Over Bank Of America

    There is a rumor circulated on Wall St. that JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) will takeover Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) within the week. The government will support the deal with a $100 billion investment in preferred shares issued by the combined entity. Alternatively, the government may guarantee the value of a large pool of Bank of America assets. The word is that Treasury Secretary Geithner has discussed the transaction with JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon.The "merger" would completely destroy the value of BAC's common shares.

    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/jp-morgan-may-take-over-bank-of-america-2011-08-23
     
  25. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Possible Challenges To Traders Today
    – Building Permits is out at 8:30 AM EST. This is major.

    – Housing Starts is out at 8:30 AM. This is major.


    US Dollar: Mar. USD is Down at 102.945.

    Energies: January Crude is Up at 51.14.

    Financials: The Mar 30 year bond is Up 10 ticks and trading at 148.27.

    Indices: The March S&P 500 emini ES contract is 2 ticks Lower and trading at 2258.00.

    Gold: The December gold contract is trading Up at 1134.50. Gold is 47 ticks Higher than its close.
     
  26. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    JP isn't taking over BofA

    BofA is on one heckuva run, and it would be far too costly

    $234B market cap


    3.jpg
     
  27. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Can Solid Demand Data Last?
    Friday, December 16, 2016

    by Paul Georgy of Allendale, Inc


    [​IMG]

    Good Morning!Paul Georgy with the early morning commentary forDecember 16, 2016.

    Grain marketsaremixed as traders sort through a slew of fundamental and macro data. The dollar is seeing a slight corrective moveafter yesterday's very strong action, while crude is lower and gold ishigher.

    Weekly export salesfor the December 2nd to the 8th time-frame had corn sales at 1,540,092 metric tonnes (all but 24,050 were 2016/17 crop). This was well above the 800,000 - 1,100,000 expectation. We have now sold 59% of USDA's whole year goal,over the 53% five year average.

    Soybean saleswere reported at 2,404,881 tonnes sold (2,008,381 2016/17 and 396,500 for 2017/18). That was much better than the 1,300,000 - 1,900,000 trade expectation. We have now sold 81% of USDA's whole-year export goal, also over the 76% five year average.

    Wheat salestotaled 564,344 tonnes for the week (531,344 2016/17 and 33,000 for 2017/18). This was just over the 300,000 - 550,000 expectation. We have sold 76% of USDA's estimate, vs.the 73% five year average.

    NOAA's long termforecast maps look to show good weather for US planting. Summer temperatures are forecast to be above average for much of the growing regions, while precipitation looks to be average.

    Informanow estimates 2016 corn yields at 176.1 bushel per acre, up from 174.0 bpa last month. They also see higher soybean yields of 52.8 bpa, up from last month's 52.4. For 2017 planted acreage, they seecorn at 90.15 million acres, soybeans at 88.9 million, andwinter wheat at 33.2 million. The soybean estimate was an increase, while the corn and wheat estimates were reductions

    NOPA crushwas lower than anticipated yesterday, coming in at 160.75 mb. The trade was looking for the crush to come in at 162.6. Oil stocks were lower than anticipated coming in at 1.339 vs the average guess at 1.381.

    Soybean export pricesacross the world stand at $397.86 per tonne in Brazil, $387.22 per tonne in Arentina, and $396.30 per tonne in the US.

    U.S. Trade Representativehas filed achallenge to China's use of tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) for rice, wheat and corn with the World Trade Organization. The challenge claims that the Beijing's use of the program breached its WTO commitments and hurt U.S. farm exports.

    Societe Generale de Surveillanceestimates December 1 - 15 Malaysian palm oil exports at 464,582 million tonnes. That would be 10% under one month ago for the same period. Intertek Testing Services, estimates exports in the same period at 481,349 tonnes. That would be 8% lower than their own number from one month ago.

    Fundswere estimated buyers of 9,000 soybean contracts, and 2,500 soymeal contracts in yesterday's trade. They were sellers of 8,500 corn, 4,000 wheat, and 4,500 soyoil contracts.

    The Consumer Price Indexshowed that retail pork prices fell by 11.8 cents in the latest month to now $3.625 for November. This is now 17.4 cents under the peak of the year in April, and 7.5% under last year.

    The average pricefor choice grading beef rose from $5.737 to now $5.764. The fresh beef calculation showed a decline from $5.639 to $5.542. Fresh beef is now 7.2% under last year.

    Weekly beef export salessaw a net cancellation of7,102 tonnes of previously ordered product. This is the biggest cancellation since December 19 of 2013.

    Dressed beefvalues were higherwith choiceup2.58and select up 2.17. The CME Feeder Index is 130.53. Pork cutout value is up2.44.

    Markets At-A-Glance – 5:10 AM

     
  28. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    The government's preference for a deal with JP Morgan rather than a federal takeover may be because it does not want to set the precedent of Washington owning one of the world's largest banks "paid for" with taxpayer money.

    -------------

    from the article

    set the precedent?????

    considering the past, the statement is ludicrous

    as another thought, we all remember that the cancer that had/has? afflicted BofA came from Countrywide with the buyout there of that fraud package.

    Yet, much of the fraud that was committed by Countrywide was compliments of Bill Clinton, for those that still have any memory left,
     
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  29. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    How to play....

    2016-12-16-06-42-16-335562708.jpeg

    and win everytime.....!!!

    Super-Sizing JPM into the Jumbo-class???

    I was doing biz when Barnett Bank was bought out by Nations Bank, once that transaction was completed, Nations Bank then bought Bank of America, then changed the name "Nations Bank" to "BoA." At that time, we were told that BoA had bought NB, not the other way around.

    "NationsBank was one of the largest banking corporations in theUnited States, based in Charlotte, North Carolina.[1] The company named NationsBank was formed through the merger of several other banks in 1991, and prior to that had been through multiple iterations. Its oldest predecessor companies had been Commercial National Bank (CNB), formed in 1874, and American Trust Company founded in 1909.[citation needed] In 1998, NationsBank acquired BankAmerica, and modified that better-known name to become Bank of America.[2]

    *****At the time, it was feared that the New York City money center banks might devour local Southern banks. It was believed that the only way to prevent this was if the stronger banks in the region became too rich to be taken over.*****

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/NationsBank

    (at above link, NB has been a busy lil bee in the M & A department)

    One could easily observe & speculate that a series of well orchestrated crisis would place New York City money center banks devouring local Southern banks in the game of monopoly. However perusing the numerous M & A's of Nations Bank, they have spread out like an octopus with tentacles reaching the four corners of the U.S.... a fine catch for the NY money power!

    2016-12-16-08-11-44-1043546380.jpeg

    Afterall, who in their sane mind would have voluntarily allowed the absorbtion of Country Wide onto its balance sheets with all of its negative present & future baggage???

    BoA stock has been rising (the carrot), this is true, I suspect the shareholders would/will agree to any M & A at this apex to maintain share value, including being absorbed by JPM, especially if Uncle Scam is backstopping it with $100 bb equity. Of course the monopolist scammers will point to the "arrangement" they themselves have created, an arrangement that leaves so called authorities with almost no other options but to capitulate....

    As the article states:

    "Under federal law, JP Morgan and Bank of America could not combine because together they would have too large a share of several financial markets in the US. Treasury would apparently work with other government agencies to have those rules suspended and then the new combined bank would sell assets to get back into compliance later."

    "Never let a crisis go to waste" --Rahm Emanuel

    Will this be the next fake crisis needed to repeal the Riegle-Neal Act?

    http://www.federalreservehistory.org/Events/DetailView/50

    Snip from the MP article (the coming crisis)....

    "Note: Credit default swap insurance on the bank's unsecured debt jumped 64 basis points to 435 basis points, meaning it would cost $435,000 per year for five years to insure $10 million in bonds, according to Markit (via Reuters)."

    Who was this article actually written for??? Who needs to be softened up to the ideas or was it written for multiple targets, i.e. BoA stock & bond holders & so called law makers???

    John Hylan, Mayor of New York - New York Times, March 26, 1922

    "The real menace of our republic is this invisible government which like a giant octopus sprawls its slimy length over city, state, and nation ... It seizes in is long and powerful tentacles our executive officers, our legislative bodies, our schools, our courts, our newspapers, and every agency created for the pubic protection...
    ... at the head of this octopus are the Rockefeller-Standard Oil interest and a small group of powerful banking houses generally referred to as the international bankers. The little coterie of powerful international bankers virtually run the United States government for their own selfish purposes.
    They practically control both parties ... and resort to every device to place in nomination for high public office only such candidates as will be amenable to the dictates of corrupt big business...
    These international bankers and Rockefeller-Standard Oil interests control the majority of newspapers and magazines n this country."
     
  30. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Fyi,

    chin bond auction lays an egg,

    doesn't sell out the paper offered,

    too funny, chink in the chin
     
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  31. ErrosionOfAccord

    ErrosionOfAccord #1 Global Warmer Gold Chaser Site Supporter ++

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    Maybe my memory fails me. I seem to remember being here about a decade ago and getting curious about who owns which banks. I went looking for the major shareholders and if I recall correctly the Rockefellers held a huge (35%?) majority of Chase, Perhaps the merger had already taken place and it was JPM at the time. I'm just kind of wondering when that old criminal divested and placed the holdings into shell accounts?

    http://www.investopedia.com/article...rgan-shareholders-jpm.asp?lgl=bt1tn-no-widget
     
  32. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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  33. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    not buying his list,

    don't remember any attempts on the kenyan or on bush2, not even bush 1

    he is basically stating that every pres has had a attempt, successful or not..........

    as for tramp, he is a definite candidate, but the next supposedly isn't due until 2022, which puts him out of office.
     
  34. BarnacleBob

    BarnacleBob GIM Founding Member & Mod. Founding Member Site Mgr Site Supporter

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    Maybe its time to challenge his info & data??? Dates, times & events... what is he defining as an assassination event... ???
     
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  35. 90%RealMoney

    90%RealMoney Midas Member Midas Member

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    Thought I heard that Squeaky Fromm tried to assassinate Bush the elder? My bad, it was Gerald Ford.
     
  36. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    meybe it was mighty mouse????

    1.jpg
     
  37. 90%RealMoney

    90%RealMoney Midas Member Midas Member

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    How the hell was that woman not in prison at that time anyway? Guess I need to go back and read up on the whole Manson story again. She did 34 years for the attempt on Ford's life. Sounds like she would have been successful, had her 1911 not failed to fire. Operator issues I'm sure.
     
  38. ErrosionOfAccord

    ErrosionOfAccord #1 Global Warmer Gold Chaser Site Supporter ++

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  39. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Lock and load, erection electors vote today

    Sm's start out up on the day,

    Metals doing nothing,

    USD was down overnight, now has moved back to unchanged

    No reports today to move things around.
     
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  40. Scorpio

    Scorpio Скорпион Founding Member Board Elder Site Mgr Site Supporter ++

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    Good morning GIM,

    Metals taking a hit again as dollar continues to move up as erection is confirmed.

    Initial resistance was around 102.50 and it has cleared and held it. When it gets ready to make a run, it is going for resistance at 104.5 to 105. That may be the make or break point for metals.
     
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