Yea, the 2012 is definitely safe for another year at least -- no short strike of the 2014. My hunch is they struck about 7,000 of the '14's, which will make it decent for a long term play. The mint tends to strike fewer than the prior year's sales to play it safe. Frankly as of today the '13 spouses look like a better shot.
that's a lot of gold to choose from next year given the offers. I believe the unc eagle and hags will remain low in terms of mintage on the list. Between bullion, the new UHR and proof eagles, those alone are +3000FRNs.
but if sales remain under 8000, the unc eagle will remain a good overall choice to have in the stash
3,850 on 2015 W I oz AGE burnished... UNCHANGED like near many of the spouses...
Just too many other gold coins to chose from
Did the same type thing in many prior years from the 1800s - and made LOTS of rare MINTED coins (think 2008!) (think 1996!) think think think...
You name it... Mint flooded the PM coin market and the collector market is BUSTED with no cash flow...
PS the speculator, investor, and smart (bankster) money - PM market on the other hand is turning slowly around now - who KNOWS?
But if it really goes crazy (read UPWARD and BEYOND) then many folks will be surprised... right?
2012: 6114 sold out
2015: 4983 ( edit: the official mint report for week 22 now has it at 3,991 which makes no sense... there's not nearly enough coins eligible to be returned from week 21)
In general you're right and this coin costs about $250 more than a common gold eagle, but the whole point of keeping track of this is to see whether it has a shot at becoming key. If for some reason this coin would go off sale anytime soon, it would be key and you'd see $2000 (raw) real quick on it in short order, irrespective of what gold spot does. We are in the time window right now whee the mint will not strike any more of these coins. It's unlikely they struck much fewer than 7000 but you never know.
Investment vs. Collectible... There is a difference.
Given the products
1) Bullion Gold Eagles
2) Uncirculated Gold Eagles
3) Proof Gold Eagles
It all depends on the individual.
From a profit perspective, yes the uncirculated eagle takes more FRNs than a bullion eagle but time has shown that (with gold over 1000FRN), many cannot afford all of the US Mints given products.
Since most cannot tell the difference between the bullion and uncirculated, the unc. does not move as the other coins. With a mintage that is low and the aftermarket being interested in the coin, the price of all unc. gold eagles is attractive. This numismatic element of the unc. eagle IMO makes it a coin to invest in, if it could be afforded.