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AXSTONE'S FINAL WAVE (5)

axstone

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I expect more gap ups, I wonder what happens to the market price, how its quoted if the Comex or any warehouse fails
Sinclair says the COMEX quote goes to zero, paper contracts that cant perform are worth zero naturually
what quote board would reflect the physical market price that Refiners, producers and traders use.
 

axstone

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If one offered investors a fat tail put option that never decays or expires, costs about -1% pa to carry, has no counter party risk & no chance of ever becoming worthless, there would be a line out the door. But when one explains that this option is physical gold… no interest.

– S. Mikhailovich
 

JayDubya

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axstone, is there an article to go along with that Outsider Club chart? Curious, what reasoning they give, thanks
 

Goldhedge

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Gold Bounces Off Key Technical Level, Erases Earlier Plunge

by Tyler Durden
Tue, 04/23/2019

Update: European markets closed and gold found a bid, erasing earlier losses...



Bouncing perfectly off its 200DMA...




And for now, it has decoupled from the dollar strength...



* * *

Gold futures suddenly took a turn for the worse this morning as 'someone' once again decided that 0830ET w
as the perfect time to puke over $1.5 billion notional
of the precious metal into the market...

Over 11,500 gold futures contracts suddenly dumped into the market...



...pushing it towards its 200DMA...



Silver is also getting hit...




Helped by a sudden surge in the dollar...



WTF?



And once again, it's happening as the London Fix looms...



Not Manipulated though.

We give the final word of this farce to Bloomberg's Jake Lloyd-Smith:

Gold is due for a delayed lift from the U.S. upping the ante against Iran with the decision to end the sanctions waivers. That move, if enforced, puts a U.S. boot on Tehran’s windpipe and sets the scene for further tensions. Iran is already talking about choking off the Strait of Hormuz, the vital maritime conduit for Persian Gulf shippers. While RBC Capital Markets reckons that the U.S. Fifth Fleet could handle a direct challenge in that area, any flare up would boost both crude and bullion.​

Don’t forget gold’s other drivers, with central banks stocking up and the Fed hikes on hold, restraining the dollar. Bullion hasn't had a stellar year, as the $1,350 level proved tough to crack, equities revived and flows into ETFs reversed with the ebbing of recession concerns. But back down around $1,270, it may be worth another long look.


 

Varmint Hunter

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savvydon

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I've seen this same chart since 2011. :(
Patience is a virtue. Not trying to be a dick, but with PMs I think you have to walk the walk... Sure, I am ready for the moonshot, too. But I got in because I believe in them as a store of value. If you acquire it with fiat that is not otherwise earmarked then you can afford to wait, even if you would rather not have to. 2c...
 

Zed

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Trading money and investment money. Nothing to say you can't bet against your stash if it gets a little silly.
 

savvydon

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Stay outta those supplies Doc, they are not for you! LOL.
High on pure excitement! Better tone it down though - I have an appointment with my alarm clock at 4:45 tomorrow morning.:tongue:
 

Weatherman

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Last edited:

Zed

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Don't count those chickens just yet.
 

oldgaranddad

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On the top shelf.

Zed

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How is Zed doing?
Step out on the fringe and see.

Thinking we need a breath near here. Max I'm expecting on this short term is 1420. Consolidating over 1400 would be just grand BUT we probably have to fight a little harder for 1400 than that.

Other than that yesterday was my best one-day performance ever.
 

Zed

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OK. We’ll just estimate.
Hookers estimates are always flattering, the market is a hooker. Take some salt with that shot and breath... need a rest short term, looking great mid term.
 

Zed

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Step out on the fringe and see.

Thinking we need a breath near here. Max I'm expecting on this short term is 1420. Consolidating over 1400 would be just grand BUT we probably have to fight a little harder for 1400 than that.

Other than that yesterday was my best one-day performance ever.
Looking at that weekly I'm thinking we might even tag 1430 here. The revised call is 20-30 area. Should be a happy Friday for you guys and then maybe catch our breath next week.

Sounds like a party poop but the slower we go the longer we run. Too much too fast is not great.
 

Zed

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Turning 1350 into support is a worthwhile achievement if we get little else from this move.