Gold may be running, but the miners are shrugging it off. This doesn't really have the appearance of a real gold rally just yet.
gdx-gold ratio still declining. Looks like it's getting close to a good buying point, but I'm waiting for a signal that it's actually going to start moving. Maybe if gold get's above Louky's 1305?
Gold may be running, but the miners are shruggi This doesn't really have the appearance of a real gold rally just yet.
gdx-gold ratio still declining. I'm not ready to jump back in just yet... View attachment 131636
Granted dsi didnt nail exact bottom on the way down from april to August. There was one more flush once it hit dec 2015 reading, but eventually it marks top/bottom after getting in a certain zone. so it's still worth noting the reading now @80
I expect that the narrative here is that platinum is more of an ‘industrial’ metal. I still think that platinum is due for a correction toward the mean and is in search of the right narrative to help it get there.
I dunno that I would be booking the funeral just yet. On the weekly we do have what appears to be a triple top BUT confirmation comes with a break of ~22K, mebe 23550 given the last break of what looked to be a double top occurred around that level.
Just watched an interview with Niel Howe coauthor of "The Fourth Turning" on Real Vision. I recall the book from years ago and had not thought about it for years. We are headed for some sort of violent crisis, that much seems evident. What is not so clear is who wins... demographics suggest that we are headed for some sort of collectivist nightmare! Amazing considering the Gen X period was supposed to be marked by 'individuality'. Seems to me that I started out with too much governance and have been subjected to ever-increasing amounts of it! I'd hoped that we'd realise that the government WAS the main problem but it seems that the odds are against that. It would appear that we have to go to 'socialist hell' before we get a reprieve. I will be dead by then.
I'm hoping that the US gold stocks are simply reflecting max disdain for gold stocks, this would be the bullish case. Given the current price I tilt to this view. If we were trading higher I'd be more concerned about lack of confirmation.
So far, just a healthy pullback and test of the breakout in gold. We need to head higher soon if this is going to be a real breakout. In gold it's rarely this easy, so I wouldn't be surprised if they make it drop to negate the breakout.
Miners still not believing it. If GDX can get above $21 this week, i would take that as confirmation that there's some more upside in gold in the near term.
Daily chart, followed by an hourly chart showing a test of the breakout. Zed may have been right after all.