India and China are on a collision course. The Indian defense establishment is opposed to China's attempts to construct a road on the Doklam plateau leading right up to the Sikkim-Bhutan-Tibet tri-junction. This has emerged as the major flashpoint.
It was the Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan that sounded the alarm — Chinese soldiers had arrived with bulldozers and excavators, and were building a high-mountain road near India’s border in an area the two nuclear-armed giants have disputed over for decades.
India responded to the call by sending troops last month to evict the Chinese army construction party from the area. Within a few days, Indian media were running leaked video footage of soldiers from both sides shoving one another atop a grassy flatland.
In this video, Defense Updates analyzes why China cannot afford a war with India?
Lets get started.
China already has its hands full having dispute and with many countries.
China’s sweeping claims of sovereignty over the sea have antagonized competing claimants Malaysia, Vietnam, Brunei, Taiwan, Indonesia, and the Philippines. United States, Japan & India favors freedom of navigation as it is a very important sea route with 5 trillion $ in trade, half of global merchant shipping and 1/2 of world’s oil shipment pass through it.
U.S has already stepped up its military presence in the region with regular freedom of navigation exercise challenging Chinese hegemony. Japan has taken a more proactive military approach.
China is also dealing with the Tibetan issue and then there is Xinjiang region, which is having the separatist movement.
India exported about US$9 billion worth of products to China last year, but imported US$60 billion, generating a trade deficit of US$51.7 billion, according to Indian government data.
Many Chinese companies are depended on India to generate a major portion of their sales.
Chinese economy is slowing down and a conflict will result in huge adverse economic impact on China.
In 1971, Russia threatened China against joining Pakistan against India. Russia has also been growing concerned about China’s long term ambitions, which is explained in details in our previous video, kindly check the video on above card. In a conflict, Russia is expected to put pressure on China
Indo –Israel friendship has reached a new landmark with Indian PM Modi visiting the Israel recently. Israel supported in Kargil war with Pakistan by supplying precision bombs and providing valuable satellite imagery. In any future conflict against India’s, Israel is expected to play a significant role.
Indo US relation has taken multiple strides in the last decades. India and the US have signed an important agreement. The Logistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement (LEMOA) allows them to use each other's land, air and naval bases for repair and resupply.
US has also provided access to sate of art military hardware to India like the UAVs and even shown interest in opening manufacturing lines in India for fighter jets like F 16. With common interest in pushing aggressive China back, the two nations are expected to cooperate strategically in an event of conflict.
India and Japan have moved closer, concluding the first-ever bilateral defense deal between the two countries.
India has acquire 12 Japanese US-2 i amphibious aircraft costing 1.5 Billion USD. This marks a significant strategic cooperation between the countries.
The Indian army has 1.2 million active personnel almost 1 million reserve personnel.
The army has about 4500 tanks of which around 1700 are modern Russian T 90 tanks.
Notably the Army has inducted and deployed an advanced version of the BrahMos supersonic cruise missile to prop up its muscle along Indo-China border.
Indian Airforce has more than 700 strike aircrafts of which 230 are very capable Su 30 MKI. The air force has multiple AWACS and the fighter jets are strategically placed at multiple well-defended airfields.
Indian Navy has vast array vessels including Aircraft Carrier INS Vikramaditya, nuclear attack submarine INS Chakra (Akula II class), ballistic missile submarine INS Arihant and modern destroyers of Kolkata class.
Indian Space Research Organization has also deployed large number of satellites to gather intelligence, which is crucial in a war.
Agni-V is an intercontinental ballistic missile developed by the Defense Research and Development Organization (DRDO) of India.
Though the reported range of Agni 5 is 5,800 km, it is widely believed that Agni 5 has a range of 8000-10000 km.
Even with stated range of 5 000 km, it can hit most parts of China.
It carry a 1.5 tons warhead, has a speed of Mach 24 and accuracy of less than 10 m
It is India’s most powerful deterrence against any Chinese aggression.
BAKU - It’s been several weeks since Indian and Chinese troops confronted one another in a remote pass through the Himalayan peaks. Since then, hundreds of troops from both sides have been locked in a standoff a few dozen meters apart. In the meantime, nationalist rhetoric has been flying fast.
The standoff has aggravated already tense relations and is considered the most intense crisis between the Asian powers in the last three decades. However, what is less clear are the geopolitical motives behind the standoff.
China occupied Tibet and the Dalai Lama had to set up shop in Dharmsala. We love the Buddhist monks. But what do the Buddhist monks want. Modern roads and armies fighting each other? Tibet and Bhutan just want to be left alone from both India and China. To be fair to China it is their territory and time will tell how they safeguard all the cultural heritage of the buddhists
This is probably the Tibetans and the Bhutanese want. If they are allowed they would be just reciting their ancient scripture and spray pain the Buddhist teachings on the boulders. Not build modern highways