- Joined
- Nov 25, 2013
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The cruise lines are boned for a multitude of reasons. Inflation + operating costs + security + tyrannical mandates = completely effed.
I'm sticking with my commodity plays. I intend to create a very concentrated position in the most beaten down of junior miners. That means SILJ. Coming off very nearly a 52wk low price into massive inflationary forces, skyrocketing energy prices, a weakening dollar, tanking bond & equity markets, it's difficult to see a scenario where small silver/gold miners don't outperform.
As a result I've stacked a few more Jan 20 '23 strike 5 calls on SILJ this morning on weakness and have been impressed with how it has rebounded sharply from the takedown this morning. Dare we think people are *FINALLY* getting the message that price inflation isn't going away anytime soon? ...or that the fed will not be fighting it?
I'll be adding a single short call at the money to each stack of 4 long calls at a strike and expiry that makes sense at the time. This should keep theta decay in check while keeping deltas high and providing some reduction in alpha. Gamma is low, but that won't matter much as this is intended as a relatively long term play(for options) with a timeframe of roughly 5-6 months before significant adjustments should be necessary.
Currently I'm at 8 long and 2 short calls yielding 6.644 deltas and +0.0016 theta. I would estimate that a 1 dollar move higher in the silver price should result in roughly a 12.5x move in this positions value. Not too shabby for < 5k worth of contracts and minimal margin involvement. lol
I'm sticking with my commodity plays. I intend to create a very concentrated position in the most beaten down of junior miners. That means SILJ. Coming off very nearly a 52wk low price into massive inflationary forces, skyrocketing energy prices, a weakening dollar, tanking bond & equity markets, it's difficult to see a scenario where small silver/gold miners don't outperform.
As a result I've stacked a few more Jan 20 '23 strike 5 calls on SILJ this morning on weakness and have been impressed with how it has rebounded sharply from the takedown this morning. Dare we think people are *FINALLY* getting the message that price inflation isn't going away anytime soon? ...or that the fed will not be fighting it?
I'll be adding a single short call at the money to each stack of 4 long calls at a strike and expiry that makes sense at the time. This should keep theta decay in check while keeping deltas high and providing some reduction in alpha. Gamma is low, but that won't matter much as this is intended as a relatively long term play(for options) with a timeframe of roughly 5-6 months before significant adjustments should be necessary.
Currently I'm at 8 long and 2 short calls yielding 6.644 deltas and +0.0016 theta. I would estimate that a 1 dollar move higher in the silver price should result in roughly a 12.5x move in this positions value. Not too shabby for < 5k worth of contracts and minimal margin involvement. lol
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