The Lunatic Fringe - Trading talk.

[Zed]

Yes, and note that the "good news" was that the vaccine was 90% effective. So which 10% of us still need to cower in place wearing masks?

[All of us.]

LOL.

They love masks.

As far as I can ascertain they actually increase your risk as they are used out here in the real world! They have a place is hospitals and other circumstances but they follow strict protocols and use them in certain circumstances, it isn't about containing viruses per-say. Here only the people OVER the patient in an operating theater wear them. That is more about droplet control. The rest of the people in back to the room are mask free.

maybe @savvydon will tell me I am nuts but I reckon these damn things are putting me more @ risk.

 

[Zed]

Oh dear... this will feck up the party if it is correct.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325956184613019648

 

[Zed]

He means Georgia, not the whole thing? Right?

 

[dpong]

There is a greater than zero chance that Biden will not win. But Trump needs more than Georgia to pull it off. Rumors are that he is seriously working on it.

 

[Zed]

There is a greater than zero chance that Biden will not win. But Trump needs more than Georgia to pull it off. Rumors are that he is seriously working on it.

It's 2020... frankly I gave up believing that anything can or can't happen months ago!



Currently I'm trying to work out how Harris got there... she seems to be deeply unpopular in her own party. How does that work?!

Looks kinda like she has a very good chance of inheriting the throne!

 

[JayDubya]

Frankly, that's something we're all trying to figure out.
Hell, many of us are still trying to figure out how Joe got there.

 

[nowon]

It's the age of honey traps and electronic blackmail, the DS arm twisting on a whole new level..

 

[savvydon]

Yup... but take a look @ the last few big reds.

Yes, they have left their big red mark!

 

[Zed]

Yes, they have left their big red mark!

View attachment 188158

%11 down here.

YIKES!

LOL.

 

[Zed]

They ain't laying down here...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325966661942435841

 

[Zed]

Anyone we know?

 

[Zed]

Frankly, that's something we're all trying to figure out.
Hell, many of us are still trying to figure out how Joe got there.

It just looks to me that a women that even the Democrats don't really want might be president in a year or two.

That's astonishing.

 

[savvydon]

LOL.

They love masks.

As far as I can ascertain they actually increase your risk as they are used out here in the real world! They have a place is hospitals and other circumstances but they follow strict protocols and use them in certain circumstances, it isn't about containing viruses per-say. Here only the people OVER the patient in an operating theater wear them. That is more about droplet control. The rest of the people in back to the room are mask free.

maybe @savvydon will tell me I am nuts but I reckon these damn things are putting me more @ risk.

My (very limited) understanding is that the standard masks in use are only of value to help contain droplet particles so that those in the immediate vicinity will not be at risk when an infectious person coughs, sneezes or yells. You are correct that these masks are typically used by surgical folk when they are elbow deep into someone's body. The masks in use by hospital workers in an infectious setting are N95s, which actually help protect the user from having their nasopharyngeal exposed to virus particles. The best way to protect oneself from the virus in public spaces is to be aware of common surfaces like door handles etc and use hand sanitizer as needed.

As more people become infected (10million and counting currently in the US), when is it going to be ok to not make people wear masks? A person who is not acutely infectious accomplishes absolutely zero by wearing a common mask in public.

 

[Zed]

Listening to Kamala attack old Joe before they got married... it's a dirty game. Everyone of them will turn around and squeeze up their own tales if it suits them.

 

[savvydon]

He means Georgia, not the whole thing? Right?

I believe so. The chances of him having success in the multiple places that would be required to achieve an electoral majority are astronomically small.

 

[savvydon]

Anyone we know?

Ummmm, just let me clarify that I'm comforted by the padding of the chair I am currently sitting on.

If you continue down from the 11% mark over your way you might wish to add some extra padding as well.

 

[JayDubya]

Listening to Kamala attack old Joe before they got married... it's a dirty game. Everyone of them will turn around and squeeze up their own tales if it suits them.

 

[Zed]

A person who is not acutely infectious accomplishes absolutely zero by wearing a common mask in public.

IMO, the typical civilian mask gets saturated enough to be a bridge from the outside to inside. The area inside the mask is as humid as anything and helps the transfer into your system. You tend to touch the outside of the mask, unlike medical staff, transferring anything on your hands to the mask AND anything float past lands on it staying there. All up it looks to me like they up the duration of any exposure you may get. Net/net I really believe that they up your risk! They are a total feel good reaction... yes we are doing something, while in reality it's nothing and maybe worse.

JMO etc.

So OVER masks!

LOL.

 

[Zed]

If you continue down from the 11% mark over your way you might wish to add some extra padding as well.

I'm ready for it... I expected it sooner. Thought I had it wrong and was thinking about flipping and chasing price. I hate doing that, this feels more natural to me!

 

[Zed]

I believe so. The chances of him having success in the multiple places that would be required to achieve an electoral majority are astronomically small.

Yeah that's the message most are giving out.

If it turns away from Biden I'd hide inside for a while.

 

[Zed]

Then there is this sort of stuff...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325967220757966852

 

[savvydon]

Then there is this sort of stuff...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325967220757966852

I tell ya, George Orwell's 1984 was chicken feed compared to the smorgasbord we are being served up.

 

[Lancers32]

It's 2020... frankly I gave up believing that anything can or can't happen months ago!



Currently I'm trying to work out how Harris got there... she seems to be deeply unpopular in her own party. How does that work?!

Looks kinda like she has a very good chance of inheriting the throne!

They call her Heels up Harris. Should I go on?

 

[Lancers32]

Yeah that's the message most are giving out.

If it turns away from Biden I'd hide inside for a while.

Like a Blast From The Past while.

 

[nowon]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325999227298861056

 

[Voodoo]

They ain't laying down here...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325966661942435841

The red exclamation mark >> blue check marks

 

[Voodoo]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325999227298861056

Last numbers I saw was down 10k in Ga, only 15k in Az, 18k in Pa ( I think it was) and lost by 20k in WI.

 

[nowon]

Last numbers I saw was down 10k in Ga, only 15k in Az, 18k in Pa ( I think it was) and lost by 20k in WI.

That's a really thin margin, got fingers crossed for a relatively smooth process getting to a valid outcome

 

[Zed]

Yikes!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325997299387027458

They call her Heels up Harris. Should I go on?

Oh!?

Legit or just an easy slander?

 

[Zed]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1326033119280058370

 

[Zed]

I picked up a tweet that a second wall was being erected around the white house.

Anyone confirm this?

 

[Zed]

The USA is broken...

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1326036910020718592

 

[Strawboss]

I picked up a tweet that a second wall was being erected around the white house.

Anyone confirm this?

Its a non-climbable fence - not a wall...but yeah - its a real thing.

 

[Lancers32]

Yikes!

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1325997299387027458

Oh!?

Legit or just an easy slander?

Never had the pleasure myself all hearsay. I find it a curious choice maybe not considering the Dem party is the party of racism.

 

[Lancers32]

Up in pre would have rather seen down. Probably make today's highs very early could be wrong not buying green.

 

[Lancers32]

Jackie Chan whipsaw.

https://www.gold-eagle.com/article/gold-price-exclusive-update-106

 

[Zed]

Up in pre would have rather seen down. Probably make today's highs very early could be wrong not buying green.

Oddly flat. Leads me to expect the second push is coming.

 

[savvydon]

Oddly flat. Leads me to expect the second push is coming.

Sure seems that way. Metals haven't had any conviction today and the miners never even showed up.

 

[dpong]

Oh yeah. Per the WTT rules I sold SEDG at the open (POP) on Monday for a gain of 69.24%.

 

[dpong]

I described before my "slow trade" system for trading my retirement accounts. When SPX closes the month above the 20 month moving average I go long the market. When SPX closes the month below the 20 month moving average I go back to cash.

Everyone agreed that this is not a very good trading system. I agreed too, but I trade it anyway. I'm mostly trying to avoid the big big crashes, like 2000, 2008, etc. Fortunately I was not yet trading it when the latest big crash occurred, but it would not have done very well here.

I recently had an idea that I believe constitutes an improvement. Actually in my account I hold about 50% in a guaranteed income fund which accrues a small amount of interest. It is like cash. This is by choice. Since I am doing that anyway this is not a part of the system that I don't like.

When the SPX crashes below the 20 month moving average I could end up giving a lot back. So I recently decided to rebalance. I have been in the market for over 6 months, I'm currently in the 7th month. And the markets have done great. So I'm no longer 50/50 in cash/stocks. So I rebalanced to 50/50 by moving funds out of stocks and back to cash. By doing that I'm basically taking profits. Should we crash again I will not give those funds back again. I lock in those gains.

It's still not perfect but I think a rebalance quarterly or even every 6 months would greatly improve the simple system that is this.

[So using the 20 month moving average in conjunction with periodic rebalancing, I think is a reasonable improvement.]