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tracking penetration of c-19

Scorpio

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#81
and such a cute term for it .......... 'intervention'

how about usurping your peasants rights?

or how about outright theft from the slaves?

we won't even go into the illegality of it all,

starin' people right in the face, and many refuse to see it or believe it
 

Scorpio

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#82
ok guys, stats for today

the world holds at steady increases,
Us deaths continue to increase rate

3.31.20 to 4.1.20

WORLD

787631 to 862234
Gain 74063
9% Increase (yesterday 9%)

Deaths
37840 to 42404
Gain 4564
12% increase (yesterday 11%)

US

189633 to 164610
Gain 25023
15% increase (yesterday 15%)

Deaths

3170 to 4081
Gain 911
29% increase (yesterday 26%)
 

Scorpio

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#83
the admin is stating the next 2 weeks are a bugger,
then they will review from there
 

Scorpio

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#84
new stats for 4.1.20 to 4.2.20

world continues to increase
big jumps for the US again, albeit down a touch from yesterday in %'s

WORLD

189633 to 216722
Gain 79715
9% increase (yesterday 9%)

Deaths
47522 to 42404
Gain 5118
12% increase (yesterday 12%)

US

189633 to 216722
Gain 27089
14% increase (yesterday 15%)

Deaths
4081 to 5137
Gain 1056
26% increase (yesterday 29%)


world 4.1.20 to 4.2.20.jpg



US 4.2.20.jpg
 

Uglytruth

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#85

Scorpio

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#86
new stats for 4.2.20 to 4.3.20

world rate of increase flat to down
Us shows decrease in rate for cases for 2nd day in a row, and death rate decreases quite a bit from 26% to 18% (increase in cases)

WORLD

941949 to 1017693
Gain 75744
8% increase (yesterday 9%)

Deaths
47522 to 53179
Gain 5657
12% increase (yesterday 12%)

US

216722 to 245573
Gain 28851
13% increase (yesterday 14%)

Deaths
5137 to 6058
Gain 921
18% increase (yesterday 26%)

world 4.3.20.jpg


us 4.3.20.jpg
 

Cigarlover

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#87
This things already fizzling out regardless of what th media says.. Never seen such a coordinated media blitz on deaths tolls for any reason before. Imagine if they did a daily count from the flu or from auto accidents. No one would ever leave their homes again.
 

Uglytruth

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#88
2.2 million and we are at 6100? 9 days before the peak.......... lotta dying needs done quick like!
 

Scorpio

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#89
new stats for 4.3.20 to 4.4.20

world rate of increase deaths down, cases up a touch
Us shows flat growth again thru this am

WORLD

1017693 to 1120752
Gain 103059
10% increase (yesterday 8%)

Deaths
53179 to 58892
Gain 5803
11% increase (yesterday 12%)

US

245573 to 278458
Gain 32885
13% increase (yesterday 13%)

Deaths
6058 to 7149
Gain 1101
18% increase (yesterday 18%)

allowing that as the numbers increase, a % increase number gets harder and harder to hold, as we still gained 1101 deaths day over day. But it is wise to remember they were all speaking to the exponential nature of this thing.

world.jpg


us.jpg
 

Scorpio

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#90
according to their numbers, we still have a increase of cases in the US of 13% or 32K cases and the world has over 100k new cases

for reference, the gain yesterday was 28k US and 75K world
 

glockngold

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#91
But it is wise to remember they were all speaking to the exponential nature of this thing.
Would it be possible that the exponential increase would be realized if we were not hunkering down?
Curve flattening could be working.
 

Scorpio

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#92
don't have a problem with that conclusion,

just cannot speak to the accuracy of any of this,
its like I am living in a time warp illusion

to me, this story is fascinating to watch real time, as the players all move to and fro,
action reaction

clearly it isn't going to be the deadly event originally envisaged by the propagandists, yet the long term ramifications are going to be monumental with some of the moves as of yet unrevealed.
 

Scorpio

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#94
lot of projections for you at ABC's link guys,



ABC, death projection US

quite clear, they are having trouble getting the death number of to something equating shutting down the US economy,

<100k by August is not a big number and certainly doesn't make it a leading cause of death,

death proj.jpg



Number of deaths for leading causes of death

  • Heart disease: 647,457
  • Cancer: 599,108
  • Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
  • Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
  • Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
  • Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
  • Diabetes: 83,564
  • Influenza and pneumonia: 55,672
  • Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 50,633
  • Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173
 

Scorpio

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#96
http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates


  • Our model for the US points to April 15 as the peak day for hospital use. At this peak time, the US is predicted to need 262,092 total hospital beds (39,727 for ICU), and 31,782 ventilators to support COVD-19 patients. This demand on hospital resources could lead to a nationwide shortage of 87,674 total hospital beds and 19,863 ICU beds given current COVID-19 trajectories.
  • Today’s estimates show that nationwide, COVID-19 deaths are predicted to peak on April 16, when we predict 2,644 deaths (range of 1,216 to 4,136) in a single day. This projection is very similar to our estimates from yesterday’s release (2,607 deaths, with a range of 1,294 to 4,140). Learn more at https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections.
  • Based on the latest available data, a total of 93,531 COVID-19 deaths (range of 39,966 to 177,866) are currently predicted through the epidemic’s first wave. These estimates correspond with yesterday’s release, where the projected cumulative deaths due to COVID-19 were 93,765 (range of 41,399 to 177,381).
  • All estimates presented here assume the continuation of statewide social distancing measures in places where they are already enacted, and future adoption within the next 7 days in states without them. If such policies are relaxed or not implemented, the US could experience a higher COVID-19 death toll and hospital burden than what our models currently predict.
 

Uglytruth

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#97
Other than overwhelm the system if nothing at all was done it would have went up a lot faster, eliminating the weak quickly. Then it would have flattened and fell off much quicker either because the weak were gone or people would have self isolated. Action / reaction would have been different.

The other thing I find interesting is sooner or later things will need to start back up again.........
You can't protect everyone from everything all the time..................
At what point is the cure worse than the disease...................
 

Cigarlover

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#98
Other than overwhelm the system if nothing at all was done it would have went up a lot faster, eliminating the weak quickly. Then it would have flattened and fell off much quicker either because the weak were gone or people would have self isolated. Action / reaction would have been different.

The other thing I find interesting is sooner or later things will need to start back up again.........
You can't protect everyone from everything all the time..................
At what point is the cure worse than the disease...................
I think we've already passed that point.
Not counting the loss to the economy and just factoring in the 6 trillion we are spending (with just one stimulus bill) So far thats like 1 billion dollars per death that we are spending. Probably losing just as much in economic activity so double that number.
As the death toll climbs that number will fall but the longer they keep people on lockdown the higher the number will get.
An argument could be made that you have to take the total dollar value and factor in how many lines were saved. An impossible calculation since there is no way of knowing.
 

Uglytruth

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#99
It's inflicting pain in more ways than one. Sure small businesses will close. But what of the unemployed worker / business owner? Or the kid that did not have a memorable birthday either because parents out of work and no money or there is no place to go? No family or friends to go with. No fishing trips or things to do with others. Memories are what make up life.

Remember there is both the seen and the unseen to everything. The unseen is still there if we want to admit it or not.
 

Scorpio

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It's inflicting pain in more ways than one. Sure small businesses will close. But what of the unemployed worker / business owner? Or the kid that did not have a memorable birthday either because parents out of work and no money or there is no place to go? No family or friends to go with. No fishing trips or things to do with others. Memories are what make up life.

Remember there is both the seen and the unseen to everything. The unseen is still there if we want to admit it or not.

very important, the mental effect,
it will play a big role eventually,
 

Scorpio

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new stats for 4.4.20 to 4.5.20

world rate of increase continues to tic downwards, cases down 3% to 7% now
Us shows flat growth again thru this am, cases down a touch, deaths up a tic

WORLD

1120752 to 1204246
Gain 83494
7% increase (yesterday 10%)

Deaths
58892
Gain 5824
10% increase (yesterday 11%)

US

278458 to 312245
Gain 33787
12% increase (yesterday 13%)

Deaths
7149 to 8503
Gain 1344
19% increase (yesterday 18%)

World still had a gain of 83k cases, and the US had gain of 33K cases, which is a pretty large part of that world number. The vast majority of the new cases occurring here in the US or 40%.

world.jpg


US.jpg
 

ABC123

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Some were wondering what Pneumonia deaths were before the coronavirus. Found this information.
Now we can compare to the current situation.
https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/fluview/mortality.html
Week 3 PNEUMONIA DEATHS (ending 1/18 in 2020)

2015 5183

2016 4043

2017 4621

2018 5412

2019 4094

2020 3890 (5.0% less than 2019, 16.7% less than previous 5 yr avg)



Week 2 PNEUMONIA DEATHS (ending 1/11 in 2020)

2015 5589

2016 4278

2017 4505

2018 5583

2019 4056

2020 3984 (1.8% less than 2019, 17.0% less than previous 5 yr avg)



Week 1 PNEUMONIA DEATHS (ending 1/4 in 2020)

2015 5576

2016 4241

2017 4558

2018 5156

2019 3917

2020 3993 (1.9% MORE than 2019, 14.9% less than previous 5 yr avg)

US PNEUMONIA DEATHS 2020 SUMMARY

Week 01 3993 (1.9% moar than 2019, 14.9% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 02 3984 (1.8% less than 2019, 17.0% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 03 3890 (5.0% less than 2019, 16.7% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 04 3719 (4.5% less than 2019, 17.3% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 05 3577 (8.0% less than 2019, 18.8% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 06 3561 (8.5% less than 2019, 17.3% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 07 3497 (10.1% less than 2019, 18.3% less than previous 5 yr avg)

Week 08 3358 (15.5% less than 2019, 20.4% less than previous 5 yr avg.)

Week 09 3390 (9.7% less than 2019, 18.5% less than previous 5 yr avg.)

Week 10 3404 (9.1% less than 2019, 17.9% less than previous 5 yr avg.)

Week 11 3203 (19.5% less than 2019, 22.2% less than previous 5 yr avg.)

Week 12 2930 (22.7% less than 2019, 25.8% less than previous 5 yr avg.) SO FAR

1586088290091.png


https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm
 

Scorpio

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Nicely done ABC

edit,

ohh, and WOW, big difference, and not in the direction one would think if you ate the media narrative
 

ABC123

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http://www.healthdata.org/
The Home page. Wealth of information here.

http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
Some explanations of the accuracy of the projections. There is suppose to be an update today.
Dr. Deborah Birx is garnering criticism for touting a disputed model for the Coronavirus outbreak prepared by the University of Washington’s IHME, a project of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Birx’s license to practice medicine in the state of Pennsylvania expired in 2014.



Deborah Birx Sits on the Board of The Global Fund, which is heavily funded by Bill Gates’ organizational network, as journalist Jordan Schactel discovered. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation gave the Global Fund a $750 million promissory note in 2012.



The Global Fund explains, “The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation is a key partner of the Global Fund, providing cash contributions, actively participating on its board and committees, and supporting the Global Fund’s advocacy, communications and fundraising efforts. The Gates Foundation has contributed US$2.24 billion to the Global Fund to date, and pledged US$760 million for the Global Fund’s Sixth Replenishment, covering 2020-2022.”

ITS ALL COMING CLEAR. BILL GATES IS A BIG PLAYER IN THIS VIRUS HOAX.
 

Scorpio

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new stats for 4.5.20 to 4.6.20

world rate of increase continues to tic downwards, cases down 7% to 6% deaths drop from 10% to 7%
Us dropped in cases and deaths 12% to 8% and 19% to 13% respectively

WORLD
1204246 to 1277962
Gain 73716
6% increase (yesterday 7%)

Deaths
64806 to 69655
Gain 4849
7% increase (yesterday 10%)

US

312245 to 337646
Gain 25401
8% increase (yesterday 12%)

Deaths
8503 to 9648
Gain 1145
13% increase (yesterday 19%)

Quite interesting as both the world and the US have currently peaked and is dropping now quite sharply in growth, but still growing in cases and deaths. The pace has slowed.

At this rate it should be flatlined by about mid week if current trend continues. 3 of 4 tracked are now in single digit % gains.


world.jpg


us.jpg
 

Scorpio

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fyi, the snooze media is still promoting that 'we are not out of the woods', the 'next 2 weeks are going to be hell', etc.

when clearly the trend has changed,
3 days in a row, both world and us dropping and dropping hard from a week ago
 

ABC123

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The Projections are WAY DOWN from the IHME site. Check it out.
 

Joe King

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when clearly the trend has changed,
3 days in a row, both world and us dropping and dropping hard from a week ago
That's a good thing and hopefully it continues.
....and if that trend becomes sustained over coming days/weeks, could it not be at least partially attributed to the sheltering orders we've experienced as of late? It stands to reason that fewer contacts means fewer chances for it to spread.
Also, we'll never know how it could have spread had there not been all these shutdowns and people staying home. If it is as contagious as has been said, allowing it to spread unchecked could have resulted in an even bigger disaster.

Personally, I'm really hoping that the HCQ/zpack/zinc treatments are the real deal, because if so, it will be over sooner as opposed to later.
...and the sooner it's over, the better the chances of things coming back to normal sooner. At some point life has to go on, and will. Either a fix will be be found, or people will have to learn to deal with the added risk wuflu adds to lifes uncertainties.
 

ABC123

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and if that trend becomes sustained over coming days/weeks, could it not be at least partially attributed to the sheltering orders we've experienced as of late?
Thats a nice thought but we know the projections they gave of 100-240k people dead was WITH the shelter in place in effect. That was a BEST CASE projection with all the protections in place.
 

Scorpio

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this thread exists because of my jawing about how this was fabricated,
how it was a nothing burger,
how this is not the reason for the freak out,

they have been real good at selling the narrative,
but truth is truth,

using their stats, day after day, I am being proven 100% correct,
and that is with them cooking the stats,

that it is and always was a nothing burger

the question still remains, what is it hiding?
 

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Here in plague city (left coast) it appears to be falling off.
Here's a graph from KC Public Health:

King County.JPG
KC Covid-19

Added the 'new cases' labels myself because they don't show until you point to the daily bar graph.
BF
 

Scorpio

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new stats for 4.6.20 to 4.7.20

world cases increase 81K and deaths 6K
Us cases up 30K and deaths up 1345

WORLD
1277962 to 1359359
Gain 81396
6% increase (yesterday 6%)

Deaths
69655 to 75945
Gain 6290
9% increase (yesterday 7%)

US

337646 to 368449
Gain 30803
9% increase (yesterday 8%)

Deaths
9648 to 10993
Gain 1345
9% increase (yesterday 8%)

Rate in world and Us still slowing, minor tics up in deaths as cases finalize

world.jpg


us.jpg
 

Scorpio

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again, of the 80K new cases worldwide, the US has 30k of those,

doesn't speak to any admin changes as of yet
 

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Ohio
167 deaths, 153 deaths over 60, and 165 deaths over 50
Median age 78
 

Scorpio

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new stats for 4.7.20 to 4.8.20

world cases increase 75K and deaths 6K
Us cases up 31K and deaths up 1918

WORLD
1359359 to 1434426
Gain 75068
6% increase (yesterday 6%)

Deaths
75945 to 82220
Gain 6275
8% increase (yesterday 9%)

US

368449 to 399929
Gain 31480
9% increase (yesterday 9%)

Deaths
10993 to 12911
Gain 1918
17% increase (yesterday 14%)

US deaths grow again as cases terminate, still increasing cases each day also
So far steady increases both Us and World, lower yes, but still increasing

world.jpg


US.jpg
 

Scorpio

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had a typo yesterday in us death growth, was 14% and not 9%
that was changed,

today it went from 14% to 17%

cases in the US continue to expand steadily, over 30k yesterday,
we still are waiting for that growth to come down

fyi
 

Uglytruth

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Ohio 4/8/20
193 deaths
Median age still 78
Other info not updated....... why?

My boss knows the 1 dead in our county. 85 year old female smoker
 

andial

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this thread exists because of my jawing about how this was fabricated,
how it was a nothing burger,
how this is not the reason for the freak out,

they have been real good at selling the narrative,
but truth is truth,

using their stats, day after day, I am being proven 100% correct,
and that is with them cooking the stats,

that it is and always was a nothing burger

the question still remains, what is it hiding?
When the vaccine is here you should take it.