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Trump's Economic & Winning Thread

Uglytruth

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Also insulates telcom prices high...…..
 

Irons

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IT’S HAPPENING: President Trump Plans to Invoke Insurrection Act to Remove Illegal Aliens From United States
by Cristina Laila May 16, 2019 384 Comments


President Trump is planning on invoking the Insurrection Act to remove illegal aliens from the Unites States.


The Daily Caller’s Amber Athey reported that multiple senior Trump administration officials said President Trump will soon invoke the “tremendous powers” of the act to get rid of illegal aliens leeching off the fat of the land.

“We’re doing the Insurrection Act,” one official said.
Under the Insurrection Act of 1807, the president has the authority to use the National Guard and military in order to combat “unlawful obstruction or rebellion” within U.S. borders. The act was last invoked in 1992 by George H.W. Bush to quell the Los Angeles riots, and was also used by Eisenhower in 1957 to enforce school desegregation in the south.
An official expressed concerns that Trump’s use of the act’s powers would face legal challenges, pointing to the lawsuits against the president’s travel ban from majority-Muslim countries. However, as the official noted, the travel ban ultimately prevailed in the Supreme Court.
In addition to the Insurrection Act, the president is also considering declaring the country full and insisting that the U.S. can no longer handle the massive influx of illegal immigrants. 2019 is currently on pace to reach the highest levels of illegal immigration in a decade.​
A record amount of illegal aliens have poured over the US border in 2019.



Approximately 100,000 illegal aliens a month are being apprehended by US Border Patrol.

We need a wall and we need real immigration reform to put an end to insane ‘catch and release’ asylum policies.

There are an estimated 30 million illegal aliens currently living in the Unites States — it’s time to deport them and put America first.

Trump Plans To Invoke Insurrection Act To Boot Illegal Immigrants ...

https://dailycaller.com/2019/05/16/donald-trump-insurrection-act-illegal-immigration/

6 hours ago - Trump Plans To Invoke Insurrection Act To Boot Illegal Immigrants ... Act to remove illegal immigrants from the United States, The Daily Caller has learned. ... to invoke the “tremendous powers” of the act to remove illegal ...
 

ABC123

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Covfefe Sets Track Record In Miss Preakness
Covfefe dominates the G3 Miss Preakness Stakes in track-record time
LNJ Foxwoods' Covfefe remained undefeated in 2019 with a win in Friday afternoon's Grade 3 Miss Preakness Stakes at Pimlico, trouncing the field by 8 1/2 lengths in track-record time. The 3-year-old Into Mischief filly completed six furlongs over the fast track in 1:07.70, giving Hall of Fame jockey Javier Castellano his third win in a row on the Black-Eyed Susan card. Trained by Brad Cox, the 8-5 favorite Covfefe took her first graded victory to improve her record to three wins from four career starts.

“Javier did a great job,” said Cox. “She did break the track record? It doesn't matter, but she's fast. We weren't hell-bent on getting to the lead today. We were going to let the speed go if there was a lot of it. Javier did a great job of letting her fall into the race.”……..
https://www.paulickreport.com/news/thoroughbred-racing/covfefe-sets-track-record-gives-castellano-third-win-in-a-row-in-miss-preakness/

https://media.8ch.net/file_store/da...8110bc69c3bc0cb558a29b3ed87b4caa82de73d2a.mp4


STILL NOT TIRED OF WINNING!
 

ABC123

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HOW I FEEL ABOUT TRUMP ~ by Steve Harvey

You've been on vacation for two weeks, you come home, and your basement is infested with raccoons.. Hundreds of rabid, messy, mean raccoons have overtaken your basement. You want them gone immediately!.. You call the city and 4 different exterminators, but nobody can handle the job..

But there is this one guy, and he guarantees to get rid of them, so you hire him.. You don't care if the guy smells, you don't care if the guy swears, you don't care if he's an alcoholic, you don't care how many times he's been married, you don't care if he has a plumber's crack, you simply want those raccoons gone!.. You want your problem fixed!.. He's the guy.. He's the best!

Here's why we want Trump: Yes, he's a bit of a jerk; Yes, he's an egomaniac; but we don't care!.. The country is a mess because politicians suck, the Republicans and Democrats can be two-faced and gutless, and illegals are everywhere.. We want it all fixed!..

We don't care that Trump is crude, we don't care that he insults people, we don't care that he has changed positions, we don't care that he's been married 3 times, we don't care that he fights with Megyn Kelly and Rosie O'Donnell, we don't care that he doesn't know the name of some Muslim terrorist.. This country became weak and bankrupt, our enemies were making fun of us, we are being invaded by illegals, we are becoming a nation of victims where every Tom, Ricardo, and Hasid is a special group with special rights to a point where we don't even recognize the country we were born and raised in; "AND WE JUST WANT IT FIXED”.. And Trump is the only guy who seems to understand what the people want.. We're sick of politicians, sick of the Democratic Party, sick of the Republican Party, and sick of illegals!… We just want this thing fixed..

Trump may not be a Saint, but we didn’t vote for a Pope.. We voted for a man who doesn't have lobbyist money holding him back, a man who doesn't have political correctness restraining him.. We all know that he has been very successful, he’s a good negotiator, he has built a lot of things, and he's also NOT a politician, NOT a cowardly politician.!.. And he says he'll fix it.. And we believe him because he is too much of an egotist to be proven wrong, or looked at and called a liar.. Also, we don't care if the guy has bad hair.. We just want those raccoons gone, out of our house, NOW!!!
 

Irons

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Buckle up! Ignore the drama and always remember china cannot feed it's self.

All Pretense Dropped – Chairman Xi Calls for Chinese to Support New “Long March” for Trade War…
Posted on May 21, 2019by sundance

In a clear signal toward the trade conflict with the United States, Chinese Chairman Xi Jinping is preparing his nation for a protracted trade conflict. Chinese state-run media have been deploying propaganda to shift public opinion toward the U.S. as a direct threat, and the latest developments by Xi showcase that agenda.



(South China Post) Chinese President Xi Jinping has called for the nation to embark on a new Long March and “start all over again”, in the most dramatic sign to date that Beijing has given up hope of reaching a trade deal with the United States in the near term.​
Xi is in Jiangxi province for his first domestic tour since the escalation of the trade war two weeks ago. Jiangxi is where China’s defeated Red Army started its fabled Long March in 1934, and Xi’s choice of destination is being viewed as an effort to invoke a spirit of endurance and to rally public spirit amid rising tensions with Washington.​

“We are here at the starting point of the Long March to remember the time when the Red Army began its journey,” Xi told cheering crowds on Monday, in footage posted on state broadcaster CCTV’s website on Tuesday. “We are now embarking on a new Long March, and we must start all over again.”​
While Xi did not directly mention the trade war or the United States, his remarks are being perceived as clear signals that the Chinese public is being told to prepare for hardships because of the worsening external environment. (read more)​
It always appeared that President Trump was fully prepared for this outcome. In hindsight it looks even more obvious how President Trump engaged with China while fully expecting to end-up with a direct and adversarial outcome.
As recently explained to Fox News host Steve Hilton, President Trump is in no hurry to continue conciliatory trade discussions because he has mentally moved into the punishment phase of his geopolitical reset.

.
The confrontation between China’s communist controlled economy and the U.S. free market system is the most significant geopolitical event since the collapse of the Soviet Union. The consequences from this reset are far reaching, and extend beyond the tens of trillions of dollars within the combined economies.
The entire system of global trade and supply-chain economics has entered a state of flux.

Within this dynamic there are opportunities for national economies to benefit if they position themselves within a nationalistic free-trade alliance being assembled by President Trump, Secretary Mnuchin, Secretary Ross and USTR Lighthizer. However, to benefit the political leaders of those nations will have to adjust their outlook.

There are indications within recent political shifts, Poland, Hungary, Italy, Brazil, and Australia as examples, that inherently many nations are aware how global multinational systems -and political leadership- were/are aligned to benefit an elitist few at the expense of the larger population. The visible signs of populist backlash are extensive.

Dr. Michael Pillsbury appears on Fox Business with Lou Dobbs to discuss the current dynamic. Great Watch:




“Change Politics For Good”
 

Irons

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Scorpio

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I actually thank tramp for finally bringing the trade of the US to the front burner,

I watched as Japan did this to us back in the day, unfair trade, restricted access to their markets, subsidized products, effectively wiping out whole industries in the US

All this while other areas were also involved,

Then along came the chins, who took it to a whole new level

So yeah, whine about the tariffs and the trade war all you want, but I am quite content that someone is paying attention

Reject globalism
 

Irons

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Black Voter DESTROYS Trump-Hater Justin Amash: It’s Bewildering That You Can Treat the President in this Way When He’s Doing Such a Great Job for Minorities!
by Jim Hoft May 30, 2019 175 Comments
Never Trumper Justin Amash held a town hall on Wednesday night back home in Michigan.

Amash is the first “Republican” to push for President Trump’s impeachment. Amash frequently lobs attacks at the Republican president.

During his town hall a black voter took the microphone, praised President Trump and blasted the RINO lawmaker.

Black voter to Amash: President Trump has defined Republicans and Democrats pretty good. And what I’m seeing for black community and minorities is that Trump is good for America. And I’m wondering why the Republicans and Democrats are fighting him so much when he’s doing such a good job? And you’re demonizing him, you’re demonizing him on something that you know is not true. It’s just bewildering to me that you can treat a President of the United States in this way especially when he’s doing such a good job for minorities and black people.
Amash immediately dismissed what the black voter said.

Kyle Morris

@RealKyleMorris



Black voter praises President Trump during Justin Amash town hall: “It’s just bewildering to me that you can treat the president of the United States in this way, especially when he’s doing such a good job for minorities and black people.”

21.3K

9:00 PM - May 29, 2019
 

Irons

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MAGAnomics – Despite Tariffs and Growing Economy, Inflation Nonexistent – Economists and Financial Class Perplexed…
Posted on May 30, 2019by sundance

Today is a very good day. Despite the professional punditry and their doomsayer predictions of Trump tariffs driving up costs for consumers, exactly the opposite is happening.
Despite large growth in the Main Street USA economy; and despite large wage gains by U.S. blue-collar workers; inflation remains low and mysteriously detached from the Fed monetary policy.



WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. inflation was much weaker than initially thought in the first quarter amid a sharp slowdown in domestic demand, which could cast doubts on the Federal Reserve’s view that the benign price pressures were largely because of temporary factors.​
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index excluding the volatile food and energy components increased at a 1.0% rate last quarter, the government said. The so-called core PCE price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, was previously reported to have risen at a 1.3% pace.​
The increase last quarter was the smallest in four years and pushed inflation further below the Fed’s 2% target. (read more)​
They just don’t get it. For over three years CTH has been explaining how President Trump’s maganomic policy will reverse three decades of stagnant Main Street economic growth. Today the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) once again confirms our earlier predictions, and releases the data showing inflation is essentially nonexistent.

Since the mid-to-late 1980’s the U.S. economy split into two divergent economic engines. One traditional engine powered by Main Street, and a second engine powered by Wall Street. For thirty-plus years the distance between those engines was growing as federal monetary policy provided low interest rate support for investment, but the end destination for the investment was NOT in the U.S. [Hence, globalism]
For more than 30 years monetary policy has been driven by Wall Street influence. FED interest rates made borrowing cheap, but the money -the actual investment itself- flowed out of the United States. The end product from the investment, steered by multinationals, created products overseas. Within this flow of capital there was no benefit to Main Street.
President Trump’s America-First policy has reversed the dynamic. As a result of his focus and demand, the end product(s) from capital investment are now here in the U.S.A.

The MOUSE is money or investment. The CHEESE is end products, manufactured stuff.
Rather than beg the Wall Street investment mouse to change direction in the manufacturing maze, president Trump has simply moved the cheese to Main Street. The mouse’s travel changed accordingly.
(

BEA Table 4 – pdf)
The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 0.7 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.7 percent in the fourth quarter (table 4). The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent, compared with an increase of 1.5 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 1.0 percent, compared with an increase of 1.8 percent. (link)​
As companies reevaluate the best place for investment (highest return), and they see that Trump’s policies (corp taxes, tariffs, material and labor costs) focus on greatest benefit being inside the U.S, then companies return to Main Street. This is what has been happening since Trump took office; and it continues through today.

The prices of highly consumable goods (food, fuel, energy) is kept low by Trump policies that increase energy production and return a genuine supply-side dynamic to domestic production prices. [The battle with Big AG]
Meanwhile multinationals, and some foreign governments, fight to keep their footing abroad (original investment) by keeping down the price of durable goods manufactured overseas. This is done by increase productivity, adjusted supply chains and retention incentives afforded by the benefiting nation. This is done to offset Trump tariffs which are designed to influence a shift in the manufacturing process.
The end result of both production dynamics, domestic and abroad, is low inflation.
This price dynamic is happening at the location of output, internally to the operations that are determining the output price, based on their determination of what U.S. market prices will absorb.

Key Point – The pricing is NOT a result of decision-making on new investment; and therefore the pricing dynamic is not able to be impacted or influenced by FED monetary policy.
Only when the majority of manufacturing investment fully returns to the U.S. will FED policy have any significant bearing on manufacturing prices. This is the parity point where Main Street’s economic engine is recoupled to inflation.
There was 30 years of distance in the FED disconnect, and it will take more than a few years for the recoupling of Main Street to FED monetary policy.
This dynamic is the basic thesis behind THE THEORY HERE.



DECEMBER 2016 – […] Additionally, inflation on durable goods will be insignificant – even as international trade agreements are renegotiated. Why? Simply because the originating nations of those products are going to go through the same type of economic detachment described above.​
Those global manufacturing economies will first respond to any increases in export costs (tariffs etc.), by driving their own productivity higher as an initial offset, in the same manner American workers went through in the past two decades. The manufacturing enterprise and the financial sector remain focused on the pricing.​
♦ Inflation on imported durable goods sold in America, while necessary, will ultimately be minimal during this initial period; and expand more significantly as time progresses and off-shored manufacturing finds less and less ways to be productive. Over time, durable good prices will increase – but it will come much later.​
♦ Inflation on domestic consumable goods ‘may‘ indeed rise at a faster pace. However, it can be expected that U.S. wage rates will respond faster, naturally faster, than any monetary policy because inflation on fast-turn consumable goods become re-coupled to the ability of wage rates to afford them.​
The fiscal policy impact lag, caused by the distance between federal monetary action and the domestic Main Street economy, will now work in our favor. That is, in favor of the middle-class.​
Within the aforementioned distance between “X” and “Y”, a result of three decades traveled by two divergent economic engines, is our new economic dimension….​


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ABC123

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Won't see that on the state run media.


.
President Trump: Corrupt media refused to show crowds of supporters in U.K.

President Trump is hitting back at the mainstream media for refusing to show the crowds of supporters who gathered to see him in the U.K.

In a tweet Tuesday night, the president described seeing “big and enthusiastic” crowds of people who showed up to support him and the U.S. He also described the anti-Trump protesters as “organized flops.”

I kept hearing that there would be “massive” rallies against me in the UK, but it was quite the opposite. The big crowds, which the Corrupt Media hates to show, were those that gathered in support of the USA and me. They were big & enthusiastic as opposed to the organized flops!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 5, 2019

https://www.oann.com/president-trump-corrupt-media-refused-to-show-crowds-of-supporters-in-u-k/
 

ABC123

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Armed Mexican government stops migrant caravan with armed police and military personnel as tariff deadline looms

Will Mexico's efforts be enough to avert the Trump administration's tariff plan?

Armed Mexican government forces stopped a northbound caravan of Central American migrants after it crossed over the country's southern border from Guatemala.

Reuters reported that the group of migrants met a collection of Mexican military personnel, immigration officials, and police after crossing near the town of Metapa in the southern state of Chiapas.

According to the Associated Press, the migrant column began at a border town and was headed to one of the main cities in the region when it encountered government forces who blocked the highway. Most of the migrants in the group complied with orders from immigration officials and got into vans, but some had to be wrestled to the ground, the report said.

The news comes as the short-term future of the trade relationship between the United States and Mexico hinges on the status of talks between Trump administration and Mexican government officials in Washington, D.C., which began the same day as the caravan interception in Chiapas took place.

After talks concluded Wednesday, President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence publicly said that the discussions had yielded "not nearly enough" progress to avoid implementation of the incremental tariff plan. On Thursday, White House spokesperson Mercedes Schlapp echoed the sentiment.

"It looks like we're moving toward this path of tariffs," Schlapp said on Fox News. "What we've seen so far, the Mexicans, what they are proposing, is simply not enough."

If those tariffs — which would begin at 5 percent and could go all the way up to 25 percent — do end up in place against Mexican goods after the Monday deadline, the administration could expect some serious congressional pushback.

On Thursday, House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Richard Neal (D-Mass.) said that he has already planned a move to block the proposed tariffs, should they take effect.

"Commandeering U.S. trade policy to influence border security is an abuse of power," Neal said in a Thursday statement. "If the President does declare a national emergency and attempt to put these tariffs into place, I will introduce a resolution of disapproval to stop his overreach."

The idea of pressuring Mexico's government with punitive trade barriers has also received pushback from Senate Republicans.

"There is no doubt we have an emergency at the border, which is exacerbated and perpetuated by congressional Democrats who refuse to close loopholes in our law that are resulting in a massive influx of illegal immigration," a spokesperson for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) told Blaze Media in a statement Wednesday. "The answer, however, is not imposing tariffs against Mexico."

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) has also spoken out against the proposal, calling it "a misuse of presidential tariff authority and counter to congressional intent."

https://www.theblaze.com/news/armed-mexican-government-stops-migrant-caravan
 

ABC123

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BALLS OF STEEL! Donald Trump Literally Signed The D-Day Proclamation On The Top of the Page While Everyone Else Signed At The Bottom. He Justified The Move Saying ‘America Is The Reason The Rest Of You Aren’t Speaking German Right Now.’



That's awesome that Trump signed the top, and the rest signed the bottom.
 

oldgaranddad

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View attachment 133221
BALLS OF STEEL! Donald Trump Literally Signed The D-Day Proclamation On The Top of the Page While Everyone Else Signed At The Bottom. He Justified The Move Saying ‘America Is The Reason The Rest Of You Aren’t Speaking German Right Now.’



That's awesome that Trump signed the top, and the rest signed the bottom.
I agree. He is well justified.

The Europeans created the environment for both World Wars to occur and dragged our butts into their conflict.

BTW... did you notice that none of our allies were not too keen to volunteer to help us in our war with Japan once hostilities in Europe ended? Well, except for the Soviet Union whose only motivation for inaction against Japan was to grab some territory on the cheap. The Birits were more than happy to outsource their participation to the Aussies and the Kiwis but were real keen to get back into their former territories as soon as everything quieted down.
 

the_shootist

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He Justified The Move Saying ‘America Is The Reason The Rest Of You Aren’t Speaking German Right Now.’
As fake history is disproven on a daily basis now, it appears to me that the world would have been much better off had America stayed out of WWII. Banker's wars are such a waste!!!
 

keef

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essay removed
 
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Mujahideen

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The Chinese fight the next war, not the last war.
Manufacturing base already moved overseas - trade war already lost.

Shopping at Walmart is globalism - do you see mom and pop stores overwhelmed with new customers and empty parking lots at Walmart?

Fighting yesterday's war. with yesterday's technology? One thing is for sure, the global list of billionaires are sitting pretty.
It’s going to take some serious investments and short to mid term losses to turn things around and no one on wall street has the stomach for it and they are the ones who control our politicians.
 

Scorpio

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hahahahahahaha. 2 1/2% is way too high???
exactly

2 1/2.................too high compared to what?

ohhh sure, zero land at flat to negative

why must we use them as a standard of comparison?

bring back the Deutschmark and the S Franc, then get back to me
 

ABC123

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Is the Chinese DS threatening Xi to stop him going to this?


You're coming! Trump threatens China with immediate tariffs if Xi Jinping does not attend G20


US President Donald Trump said on Monday that China will make a deal with the United States “because they’re going to have to.” China has lost trillions of dollars since he was elected president, added Trump.

In a telephone interview broadcast on CNBC Trump said that additional tariffs on Chinese goods will go into effect immediately if China’s President Xi Jinping does not attend the upcoming G20 meeting.

Trump defended his threats to slap tariffs on Mexico and China, which he said put the US “at a tremendous competitive advantage.”

https://www.rt.com/business/461522-trump-china-tariffs-us/
1560297837740.png
 

ABC123

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Texas City Bans Abortion Clinics, Declares Itself a “Sanctuary for the Unborn”

KETK News reports leaders of Waskom, an eastern Texas city, said their pro-life ordinance is a preventive measure that they hope will keep abortion businesses out of their area.

Waskom is not far from the border of Louisiana, which recently passed a law banning abortions after an unborn baby’s heartbeat is detectable. City leaders said they do not want abortion businesses to try to open in their city to attract women from across the border.

“We decided to take things into our own hands, and we’ve got to do something to protect our cities and to protect the unborn children,” said Mark Lee Dickson, director of the Right to Life with East Texas, according to KTAL.

The mayor and city attorney expressed concerns that the ordinance likely would be struck down in court as unconstitutional. They said the city cannot afford an expensive lawsuit.

However, the city council passed the ordinance unanimously.

Here’s more from KTAL:

The final vote approving the move was met with cheers from the public.

In response to a possible lawsuit, the people of Waskom said they still support moving forward because they say God will take care of them.

Advocates of the ordinance say they got the idea for this ordinance from Roswell, New Mexico, which passed a similar one earlier this year.

https://www.lifenews.com/2019/06/12/texas-city-bans-abortion-clinics-declares-itself-a-sanctuary-for-the-unborn/
 

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China can't feed it's self.........................

More Tech Manufacturing Companies Exit China – Nintendo and Sharp Plan Exits…
Posted on June 12, 2019by sundance



Against the intense leverage being applied by President Trump, last week Beijing doubled-down and threatened punishment against any company that would leave China and begin manufacturing elsewhere.
The totalitarian response was predictable and expected. However, also predictable was the corporate response to the threats.

As we shared: “China is counting on prior western investment being so significant that a corporation will be reluctant to withdraw. However, in this outlook Beijing seriously underestimates the free market because communist controlled China doesn’t understand the action of a inherently free market.

The first loss is the best loss. If walking away from an investment provides more financial security and stability than attempting to retain a grip on a tenuous position – corporations will walk away.” (more)
Now today – “Nintendo Moves Some Switch Production Out of China”:

TOKYO— Nintendo Co. is shifting some production of its Switch videogame console to Southeast Asia from China to limit the impact of possible U.S. tariffs on Chinese-made electronics, said people who work on Nintendo’s supply chain.​
It is another example of manufacturers adapting to the tariff threat. Taiwan’s Foxconn Technology Group said Tuesday that it was ready to move assembly of Apple Inc.’s iPhones out of China if necessary, and Japan’s Sharp Corp. , which is controlled by Foxconn, said last week that it planned to move production of personal computers to Taiwan or Vietnam.​

Kyoto-based Nintendo has traditionally relied on the Chinese factories of contract assembly companies to make its videogame hardware. That includes the Switch console, introduced in 2017. (more via WSJ)​
As President Trump highlighted on May 13th, over time (and it won’t take long) there would be an exodus of multinational manufacturing away from China. Corporations will shift their purchase agreements, manufacturing and assembly plans to ASEAN countries outside the investment ‘risk zone’ that is now China.

Notice some of the nuance (specific references) within President Trump’s tweets. Japan (Shinzo Abe), Vietnam (President Trang Dai Quang), South Korea (KORUS), Philippines and India are positioned to pick-up business
While the Red Dragon does the only thing the Red Dragon knows to do, we enter the phase when corporate interests, particularly multinationals, recognize China is a communist state-run, controlled-market, system.

The reaction from China is immensely predictable; and creates a downward spiral. If any corporation is perceived as working against the interests of the state; the state will take control of the corporate interest. What western business interest would want to do business within China when that reality is the landscape of every economic decision?
The willingness of China to self-immolate is the golden arrow in President Trump’s economic quiver. The inability of China to modify itself based on downstream economic outcomes is the inherent weakness… Overlay that weakness with the zero-sum outlook and you get this quote from Chinese State-Run broadcast:

…“If the US wants to negotiate, our door is open. If you want to fight, we will fight to the end.”…
Think about the logical reality of this statement as expressed. Put another way: ‘if you agree to our terms we will work with you; however, if you don’t agree to our terms, we will self destruct.’ That’s the economic reality of the zero-sum dragon mindset. This inevitable position is what CTH has been outlining for several years.
President Trump has walked Chairman Xi into a trap. There is only downside for China in the current dynamic. In an effort to avoid the downside, China will bleed cash to retain their economic position…. However, this can only last so long.

The food price index in May jumped 7.7% year-on-year, the fastest pace since January 2010 and higher than April's reading of 6.1%.
China's factory inflation slows as production eases but food prices surge
109
63 people are talking about this
Meanwhile President Trump, Secretary Wilbur Ross and USTR Bob Lighthizer are not backing down from the pressure. Trump, Lighthizer and Ross are sending a very deliberate message to U.S. companies. If you crawled into bed with the Dragon, don’t look for us to help make your bed more comfy… deal with it.

It always appeared that President Trump was fully prepared for this outcome. In hindsight it looks even more obvious how President Trump engaged with China while fully expecting to end-up with a direct and adversarial outcome.
Long before media pundits starting noticing/considering how serious President Trump was about structurally resetting the entire landscape of a U.S-China trade relationship, President Trump quietly and methodically laid the groundwork with personal visits to: Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (Japan); President Moon Jae-in (S-Korea); President Tran Dai Quang (Vietnam); and President Rodrigo Duerte (Philippines).

The November 2017 tour of Asia was President Trump traveling to meet directly, face-to-face, one-on-one with the manufacturing heavyweights of Southeast Asia.

President Trump has positioned this geopolitical trade reset perfectly. Trump began with the end in mind and is now applying Chairman Xi’s own “us -vs- them approach” toward confronting China. The supply chain investment Beijing needs to sustain itself is now being controlled by elements outside China. Beijing responds by attacking those in the international community who control the investment.

As things go forward, China cannot sustain a long-term economic conflict with the U.S. As each day passes the ASEAN alliance will see their investment grow as companies pull-out of China and invest in S-Korea, Vietnam, Philippines, India etc. The GDP of our allies (including Mexico) grows, and the controlled GDP of China, as an adversary, shrinks.
The confrontation between China’s communist controlled economy and the U.S. free market system is the most significant geopolitical event since the collapse of the Soviet Union. The consequences from this reset are far reaching, and extend beyond the tens of trillions of dollars within the combined economies.
The entire system of global trade and supply-chain economics has entered a state of flux.

This will not end well for China.

Watch as time goes along and more companies, and nations, slowly walk toward the exits with China. There is just too much inherent financial risk. China will have to make a deal fast yet their outlook, their inherent disposition, does not permit them to enter into a deal where they will lose status; and President Trump is in no hurry.
President Trump knows the strength of our U.S. position is that our economy is deep and wide. The U.S. is a self-sustaining economy. Almost 80% of our internal production and manufacturing is purchased within our own market.
In the big picture – economic strength is an outcome of the ability of a nation, any nation, to support itself first and foremost. If a nations’ economy is dependent on other nations to survive it is less strong than a nation whose economy is more independent.

The reality of China as a dependent economic model (heck, they cannot even feed themselves) puts them at greater risk from supply-chain consequences Trump is controlling and delivering. President Trump’s strategic use of geopolitical economic leverage is working by weakening the Chinese economy from multiple simultaneous angles…
Chairman Xi has met his match.


While President Trump keeps pouring vociferous praise upon the Chinese leader; again, the exact same approach customarily used within China’s own
cunning economic strategy; Trump is simultaneously delivering an economic death by a thousand cuts.
Incredible.


.
 

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Finally we have a leader. Our President is playing for all the fucking marbles......................
..................


President Trump Outwits Chairman Xi Jinping Ahead of G20 Summit…
Posted on June 15, 2019by sundance

President Trump has taken the leverage of economics to levels of geopolitical strategy never seen before. Nowhere is the genius strategy more clear than in the way Trump positioned the trade reset and confrontation with China.

In hindsight every move since early 2017 including: (1) the warm welcome of Chairman Xi Jinping to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate; (2) the vociferous praise poured upon Xi; (3) the November 2017 tour of Asia; (4) the direct engagement with North Korean Chairman Kim Jong Un; the strategic relationship with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe; and a host of smaller nuanced moves have been quietly building toward a conclusion.

The upcoming G-20 summit is the last chance for Trump and Xi to reconcile considerable differences and President Trump has the strongest strategic position any Chinese official has ever faced.




After Beijing walked away from previous agreements between USTR Robert Lighthizer and Vice-Premier Liu He, Trump initiated a series of punishing economic consequences that had to have been well planned in advance.
The economy in China is reeling from the pressure being applied by President Trump; and stunningly it has only been a little over a month since the consequence phase began.


In addition to tariff increases, the U.S. blacklisted Huawei Technologies Co., threatened other major Chinese tech companies and essentially cut-off China from the international supply chain it needs to sustain itself. Beijing responded by drawing up a list of “unreliable entities” and making threats against any enterprise that would walk away from business engagement with China. The totalitarian response worsened the situation and more companies have announced their intent to decouple from Beijing.

The important aspect missed by most observers is the ideology and outlook within any Chinese engagement. Quite simply, if it does not benefit China it is not done. Therefore any negotiation with China is challenging because Beijing will cede no ground they view as already having been won.




China does not believe in ‘concession’ from current position within any terms. Ultimately this is the reason why the negotiated agreement by Lighthizer and Vice-Premier He was dismissed by Beijing and talks collapsed. China will not cede already attained position.

However, in advance of the G20 Summit in Japan, President Trump has positioned Chairman Xi in a lose/lose dynamic. This forces the outlook of Beijing into an incredible state of internal anxiety. Only President Donald Trump could have achieved this position, is really is remarkable and is noted within this Bloomberg article:

(Bloomberg) By now, Xi Jinping is used to Donald Trump’s tariff threats. But the U.S. president’s latest ultimatum is personal, and the Chinese leader’s response could have far-reaching consequences for his political future.​
Trump on Monday said he could impose tariffs “much higher than 25%” on $300 billion in Chinese goods if Xi doesn’t meet him at the upcoming Group of 20 summit in Japan. China’s foreign ministry — which usually refuses to provide details of meetings until the very last minute — declined Tuesday to say whether the meeting would take place.​
The brinkmanship puts Xi — China’s strongest leader in decades — in perhaps the toughest spot of his six-year presidency. If Xi caves to Trump’s threats, he risks looking weak at home. If he declines the meeting, he must accept the economic costs that come with Trump possibly extending the trade conflict through the 2020 presidential elections.​
“Whether they meet or not, none of the possible scenarios are good for President Xi or the economy in the long run,” said Zhang Jian, an associate professor at Peking University. “You don’t have a good choice which can meet the needs of the Chinese economy or Mr. Xi’s political calculations.” (read more)​
Read that again carefully….

“If Xi caves to Trump’s threats, he risks looking weak at home. If he declines the meeting, he must accept the economic costs that come with Trump possibly extending the trade conflict through the 2020 presidential elections.”
That is what you call a Lose/Lose scenario.

China NEVER faces lose/lose situations. The Chinese culture doesn’t even have a frame of reference for a position that includes ‘less losing’ amid better options.

For President Trump to have navigated Chairman Xi into such a position is the pinnacle of strategic success. In the long history of western engagement with Beijing it has never happened, ever.

President Trump is now playing with Chairman Xi like a mouse in a maze.

Trump wants to go to the full confrontation position. Donald J Trump has been talking about this for thirty years. Additionally, for the past two years he has strategically laid the groundwork and aligned the allies needed for this final confrontation. President Trump is looking for an excuse to apply the scale of tariffs on China that will crush their U.S. export business – and – force them into massive state subsidies to retain their manufacturing model such that they will have to retract from preexisting global financial obligations.

President Trump has threatened more tariffs and more consequential action as it relates to non-tariff barriers, IP protection, forced technology transfers etc. As a result of China reneging on the prior agreement, Trump has put Chairman Xi under threat. Beijing’s traditional and cultural position would be no-meeting or discussions while under threats.

However, as a baseline disposition President Trump doesn’t want Xi Jinping to meet with him. That ‘slight’ is the opening Trump can exploit to crush his adversary. So what does President Trump do… while the threat and punishment looms, he levels massive amounts of praise upon Chariman Xi making the pressure almost unbearable.

Chairman Xi cannot meet with President Trump or that reverses the dismissive position previously outlined by Beijing when they rebuked the earlier agreement. However, if Xi refuses the G20 meeting he will be allowing President Trump to collapse his economy.

Worse still, Beijing cannot fall-back on shooting missiles from their proxy province of North Korea to attain leverage and negotiating position… because President Trump has already blunted their historic approach by meeting with Chairman Kim Jong Un.

Oh, the G20 is going to be epic.

…and LOL, the G20 is on Trump’s home ASEAN turf, Japan, with Trump’s good friend and golf partner Prime Minister Abe.




 

Irons

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Esther says:
June 15, 2019 at 5:56 pm

Maybe.. but though Xi is gasping for breath he’s not yet dead.
We know Xi also has problems at home with Hong Kong which has gained the attention of the international community. So he is desperate, and therefore dangerous.

Xi has one card he has been attempting to play recently. He’s got a ton of US congressmen, businessmen and the USA CoC in his back pocket because they sold out to China and he’s got the evidence to bury them. Watch the pressure pile onto Trump as Xi directs his minions to attack.

They’ll be calls for quick bills in both the House and Senate to reign in Trump due to his mental instability. There may even be lawsuits filed against this action by Trump. Xi holds some dangerous information on a lot of our politicians who sold out to him. Biden will step up his attacks, so will the MSM. O Boy, Mich McConnel will be apoplectic. Nancy, Feinstein, Cummings and Waters will step out front of the pack.

Take notes people, the swamp has to slither out of the slime for this one. Watch the loudest ones, yeah Lindsey Graham too. Crying Chuck will start talking about a deal and compromise on the border wall and immigration.

POPCORN!

.
 

Irons

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Just a little reminder for the election later. According to the left President Trump has already lost.
Hmmm, sounds familiar don't it?

trumpwinarrows.jpg
 

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JUST IN: The Trump administration will announce plans to permanently withhold hundreds of millions of dollars in aid to El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras - Reuters


*PERMANENTLY

https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1140678829834457096

REUTERS

JUST IN: The Trump administration will announce plans to permanently withhold hundreds of millions of dollars in aid to El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, sources say



https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1140677773784231936

1560815892928.png

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2019-06-17/us-to-withhold-hundreds-of-millions-in-central-america-aid
 

ABC123

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The “Big Piggy Bank” is officially closed.

- Essentially, the Chinese position (and this applies to the Europeans, Mexicans, and Canadians too) is that they should protect their industries and workers with high tariffs on American produced goods while they have unrestricted access to our market.
- While this has impoverished American workers they’ve pretended this imbalance in economic relations is entirely justified.
- What our president is doing is insisting that everyone should have fair trade—which he defines as having sharply reduced tariffs—if not actual tariff parity or even no tariffs.
- His point, which is a good one, is that we should have as much right to protect our industries and workers as anyone one else.
- Raising US tariffs is not only disturbing to these countries, it is also decidedly upsetting to American oligarchs who own offshore factories and who enrich themselves by dipping into the big American piggy bank.
- China’s fascist economic model is especially attractive to these globalist oligarchs because it guarantees them a profit so long as they are obedient to state controls—like sharing American know-how with their Chinese masters.
- Two poster children for these offshore oligarchs are the Koch brothers who, for years, pretended to be “libertarian conservatives” but who are now revealed as globalists who are happy to get into bed with fascists.
- Is it any wonder that these “principled conservatives” have now announced that their formidable political contributions are going to now go to progressives?
 

ABC123

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The Chinese National budget is $3.3 Trillion dollars.

Assuming Trumps tariffs are raised to 25% on $610 Billion in imports ($152 Billion), where the Chinese paid 80% of the tariff to maintain social stability (equals to $122 Billion in Chinese govt costs), + cost of lost sales due to Trump Blacklisting @ $40 billion. Total cost to the Chinese govt is $162 Billion!

Chinese 2018 defense spending was $175 Billion dollars.

President Trump is inflicting tariffs & blacklisting costs that are roughly equal to the Chinese annual defense spending! Rough numbers but let that sink in. Wonder if defense spending on carrier, destroyers and missiles will slow down soon….

Trump tariffs & lost sales $162 Billion of a $3.3 trillion Chinese govt budget = 4.9%
A 5% contraction in spending isa HEAVY recession.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_China

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/23/chinas-government-spending-rose-8point7-percent-in-2018.html

They spend more on internal security than they do on ‘defence’ and their gonna need every pennys worth, before the end.

They are going to continually be in a situation of having to choose between “least bad options”, one after another.

Roughly equivalent to someone going bankrupt. “Do I not pay the house payment, or not by gas for the car, or not eat?”

Sucks to be them, lieing in the bed they made for themselves. As Sundance has said free market economies can adapt, centralised controlled economies, not so much.

Pres Trump has effectively killed the Chinese economy stone cold dead, with the on-going Chinese Naval build up being the likeliest first casualty.

It will take a while for the dinosaur to expire, but Pres. Trump has removed China from every western multi-national supply chain simply on supply chain risk management grounds alone.

The issue here is no longer “How do we manage China’s arrival as a great power.”

It’s going to be “How do we manage the consequences of a Post-CCP China.”
 

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Ho-Lee-Cats, is it Happening? – Chairman Xi Announces Visit to North Korea…
Posted on June 17, 2019by sundance

Well, well, well…. Against the backdrop of everything we have been discussing about the nature of the U.S. – China – North Korea geopolitics; and considering the current position of all the players; THIS is a very interesting development:


BEIJING (Reuters) – Chinese President Xi Jinping will visit North Korea for two days from Thursday, state media in both countries reported on Monday, making him the first Chinese leader to visit in 14 years.​

Neighboring China is reclusive North Korea’s only major ally, and the visit comes amid renewed tensions between the United States and North Korea over efforts to persuade Pyongyang to give up its nuclear weapons.​

“Both sides will exchange views on the (Korean) peninsula situation, and push for new progress in the political resolution of the peninsula issue,” China’s official broadcaster CCTV said in a lengthy report that led the evening news. (read more)​

The possibility here is one most CTH readers will immediately recognize. Is this the predictable face-saving approach Chairman Xi Jinping has selected?

For two-and-a-half years U.S. President Trump has been working on two connected objectives: (1) removing the threat posed by North Korea by severing the ability of Beijing to use the proxy province as a weapon (Kim is hostage to China); and (2) deconstructing the growing economic influence of China.

Both issues are directly connected to national security; and both issues are being approached by President Trump through the use of economic leverage to achieve national security results.

At first blush, there’s always a possibility of Chairman Xi going to see Chairman Kim in dragon mode… looking for a way to weaponize the DPRK despite the budding relationship between Chairman Kim (hostage) and U.S. President Donald Trump. However, that dragon perspective is blunted by the open media indications that the talks are centered around denuclearization. So that puts more weight on the second possibility.
The second possibility, the more optimistic possibility, is that we have finally reached that point in the U.S. -vs- China economic confrontation where Chairman Xi is now facing defeat and attempting to save face, and gain a better economic outcome, by releasing his hostage. This would be an incredible, almost unfathomable, win for President Trump; and an astounding visible affirmation that the year’s long strategy has been successful.

When we began watching this journey in 2017, there were indications President Trump was working specifically to create an outcome of a hostage release. And in the years that have followed there have been multiple highly-nuanced indications of the strategy Trump was following. This visit by Chairman Xi to North Korea in advance of the G20 summit has all the indications of this could very well be the culmination; ending exactly where President Trump has intended.

As we noted in this graphic two years ago:



Caution is the word of the day. After all, this is the cunning and duplicitous China we are talking about here…. they have a history of using deceit and stall tactics to achieve victory. However, President Trump has shown he is well aware of what lies behind the panda mask.
That said, it’s worth watching very closely now to see the details of the G20 and whether Xi and Trump actually meet.
Beijing has announced Chairman Xi and South Korean President Moon Jae-in are scheduled for a meeting…. and we know on the issue of DPRK hostage release Chairman Xi will need to save face very carefully.

One way for Xi to avoid the appearance of acquiescence to Trump would be for him and Beijing to place the victory at the feet of Moon Jae-in instead of President Trump. I would almost guarantee, if indeed Xi is now giving up his hostage, China will position themselves as magnanimous panda and South Korea as the beneficiary.

“Peace is the Prize” ~ Donald Trump

Ultimately, I don’t think President Trump really cares about who gets credit for the victory and hostage release of Chairman Kim. The world will know, though the media may not assign, the victory is only because President Trump has outwitted Chairman Xi and his communist regime…. and Trump did that though strategic economic pressure.

We should be able to get some indications from public and media discussion ahead of the G20 summit in Japan this month, as to how -specifically- the hostage release will take place; and/or the terms and conditions within that release. Will Chairman Xi meet with President Trump?
…or will Xi tell Kim (or an emissary) to inform Trump there will be no meeting, but the face-saving terms and reasons are understood by all the principals.

Incredible development.



Lastly, as it relates to the continued U.S. -vs- China trade and economic confrontation, if Chairman Xi expects POTUS Trump to retreat from the massive geopolitical leverage he has created that won’t happen.

President Trump has been openly, albeit with coded messages, telling the world North Korea is no longer a threat. The secondary purpose of making those statements is to blunt the value of Xi giving up his hostage. In essence, Trump has been telling Beijing: it’s a victory already achieved, so magnanimous panda isn’t providing Trump anything of measurable value.

Remember, two connected objectives: (1) removing the threat posed by North Korea by severing the ability of Beijing to use the proxy province as a weapon; and (2) deconstructing the growing economic influence of China. With #1 achieved, President Trump still fully intends to get #2. Heck, Trump has spent 30-years openly advocating for the principle of restoring American wealth. That means the economic pressure will continue until Beijing is defeated.


.
 

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Ho-Lee-Cats, is it Happening? – Chairman Xi Announces Visit to North Korea…
Posted on June 17, 2019by sundance

Well, well, well…. Against the backdrop of everything we have been discussing about the nature of the U.S. – China – North Korea geopolitics; and considering the current position of all the players; THIS is a very interesting development:


BEIJING (Reuters) – Chinese President Xi Jinping will visit North Korea for two days from Thursday, state media in both countries reported on Monday, making him the first Chinese leader to visit in 14 years.​
Neighboring China is reclusive North Korea’s only major ally, and the visit comes amid renewed tensions between the United States and North Korea over efforts to persuade Pyongyang to give up its nuclear weapons.​

“Both sides will exchange views on the (Korean) peninsula situation, and push for new progress in the political resolution of the peninsula issue,” China’s official broadcaster CCTV said in a lengthy report that led the evening news. (read more)​

The possibility here is one most CTH readers will immediately recognize. Is this the predictable face-saving approach Chairman Xi Jinping has selected?

For two-and-a-half years U.S. President Trump has been working on two connected objectives: (1) removing the threat posed by North Korea by severing the ability of Beijing to use the proxy province as a weapon (Kim is hostage to China); and (2) deconstructing the growing economic influence of China.

Both issues are directly connected to national security; and both issues are being approached by President Trump through the use of economic leverage to achieve national security results.

At first blush, there’s always a possibility of Chairman Xi going to see Chairman Kim in dragon mode… looking for a way to weaponize the DPRK despite the budding relationship between Chairman Kim (hostage) and U.S. President Donald Trump. However, that dragon perspective is blunted by the open media indications that the talks are centered around denuclearization. So that puts more weight on the second possibility.
The second possibility, the more optimistic possibility, is that we have finally reached that point in the U.S. -vs- China economic confrontation where Chairman Xi is now facing defeat and attempting to save face, and gain a better economic outcome, by releasing his hostage. This would be an incredible, almost unfathomable, win for President Trump; and an astounding visible affirmation that the year’s long strategy has been successful.

When we began watching this journey in 2017, there were indications President Trump was working specifically to create an outcome of a hostage release. And in the years that have followed there have been multiple highly-nuanced indications of the strategy Trump was following. This visit by Chairman Xi to North Korea in advance of the G20 summit has all the indications of this could very well be the culmination; ending exactly where President Trump has intended.

As we noted in this graphic two years ago:



Caution is the word of the day. After all, this is the cunning and duplicitous China we are talking about here…. they have a history of using deceit and stall tactics to achieve victory. However, President Trump has shown he is well aware of what lies behind the panda mask.
That said, it’s worth watching very closely now to see the details of the G20 and whether Xi and Trump actually meet.
Beijing has announced Chairman Xi and South Korean President Moon Jae-in are scheduled for a meeting…. and we know on the issue of DPRK hostage release Chairman Xi will need to save face very carefully.

One way for Xi to avoid the appearance of acquiescence to Trump would be for him and Beijing to place the victory at the feet of Moon Jae-in instead of President Trump. I would almost guarantee, if indeed Xi is now giving up his hostage, China will position themselves as magnanimous panda and South Korea as the beneficiary.

“Peace is the Prize” ~ Donald Trump

Ultimately, I don’t think President Trump really cares about who gets credit for the victory and hostage release of Chairman Kim. The world will know, though the media may not assign, the victory is only because President Trump has outwitted Chairman Xi and his communist regime…. and Trump did that though strategic economic pressure.

We should be able to get some indications from public and media discussion ahead of the G20 summit in Japan this month, as to how -specifically- the hostage release will take place; and/or the terms and conditions within that release. Will Chairman Xi meet with President Trump?
…or will Xi tell Kim (or an emissary) to inform Trump there will be no meeting, but the face-saving terms and reasons are understood by all the principals.

Incredible development.



Lastly, as it relates to the continued U.S. -vs- China trade and economic confrontation, if Chairman Xi expects POTUS Trump to retreat from the massive geopolitical leverage he has created that won’t happen.

President Trump has been openly, albeit with coded messages, telling the world North Korea is no longer a threat. The secondary purpose of making those statements is to blunt the value of Xi giving up his hostage. In essence, Trump has been telling Beijing: it’s a victory already achieved, so magnanimous panda isn’t providing Trump anything of measurable value.

Remember, two connected objectives: (1) removing the threat posed by North Korea by severing the ability of Beijing to use the proxy province as a weapon; and (2) deconstructing the growing economic influence of China. With #1 achieved, President Trump still fully intends to get #2. Heck, Trump has spent 30-years openly advocating for the principle of restoring American wealth. That means the economic pressure will continue until Beijing is defeated.


.

China wouldn't piss me off so much if they weren't on one hand stealing all technology possible while simultaneously blocking economic entry into their nation unless literal ransom is paid by the interested companies (i.e, Microsoft having to give China their source code).

If Trump could get China away from that mentality, I believe we'd have great economic prosperity...with true free trade.

But I doubt it's going to happen.
 

ABC123

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1560824567574.png
https://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/trending/os-ne-trump-orlando-campaign-line-20190617-wzvk4htrnndyfj4xuun34tvqo4-story.html
Trump supporters line up 42 hours early for Orlando campaign rally at Amway Center

With tents, sleeping bags and coolers of water in tow, Donald Trump supporters began lining up for Tuesday’s campaign rally in Orlando, nearly two full days before the event.

Outside the Amway Center, where President Trump will officially kick off his 2020 re-election bid at 8 p.m. Tuesday, about two dozen people and counting had staked out a spot along Division Street as of Monday morning.

“This is the big one,” said Jennifer Petito, 54, of Melbourne. “This is the mother of all rallies.”

Petitio, who was wearing a pink “Women for Trump” hat and a red-and-white striped fanny pack, was second in line. She said she got there around 2 a.m. — 42 hours before the rally’s start.

The Amway has capacity for about 20,000 people. Trump tweeted Monday that there had been more than 100,000 requests for tickets. People in line said they had been told the first 100 people would get to sit in the front row.

City officials had previously said they expected people to start lining up Monday.