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Venezuela is shipping gold to pay debt

Scorpio

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Venezuela is shipping gold to pay debt
by Patrick Gillespie @CNNMoney February 25, 2016: 1:27 PM ET

Major oil producer in turmoil

Venezuela is shipping gold to Europe so that it can pay its debt.

Venezuela sent $1.3 billion worth of gold bars to Switzerland in mid-January, according to data from the Swiss Federal Customs Administration.

That gold was shipped out just weeks before two big debt payments due this month, totaling $2.3 billion. On Friday alone, Venezuela has to pay bondholders $1.5 billion.

Venezuela is running out of cash and many experts believe there's a high chance it will default by this fall when a string of big debt payments are due.

"It's a question of when Venezuela will default, not if," says Russ Dallen, managing partner at LatInvest, a firm that invests in Latin America. "They're running out of options."

160225122302-venezuela-gold-jan-nov-780x439.jpg

That's why the country is using its dwindling gold reserves to make debt payments. But experts say it has to ship the gold all the way to Switzerland for two likely reasons:

1. Switzerland is one of the largest hubs for gold in transit and has the most trusted stamp of purity. So once Switzerland verifies the quality of the gold, Venezuela can then sell it for cash.

2. Venezuela can also put up its gold as collateral in exchange for a cash loan from banks in what is known as a "gold swap."

Some believe the second option is the more likely reason behind the shipment.

Reuters reported earlier in February that Deutsche Bank and Venezuela were negotiating a gold swap. Deutsche Bank declined to comment and Venezuela's central bank did not respond to a request for comment.

This shipment is pretty unusual. Gold is traded a lot, but countries usually keep their gold for safekeeping in places like the Federal Reserve Bank's vault in New York. When they trade gold, it usually goes from one vault to another.

But Venezuela's late president, Hugo Chavez, brought the country's gold bars back to his country in 2011 and 2012, in a show of patriotism.

In the face of major debt payments and economic crisis, now Venezuela is sending its gold back to Europe.

This week, Venezuela revealed that it's total reserves in November had fallen to $14.5 billion, the lowest level since 2003. Of that total sum, $10.9 billion is in gold. It has other reserves at the International Monetary Fund and in other precious items, like diamonds and silver.

151028155456-venezuela-selling-gold-780x439.jpg


Experts believe Venezuela has less than $1 billion in cash reserves.

"There are not enough dollars to pay their external debts," says Mauro Roca, an economist at Goldman Sachs. "The economic environment is one of the worst in the world. It's clearly unsustainable."

Any way you look at it, Venezuela is in a severe economic recession. Inflation is skyrocketing -- the IMF estimates it will rise 720% this year. Its economy tanked last year, shrinking 10%. The value of its currency, the bolivar, has plummeted.

Default could soon be knocking on Venezuela's doorstep. In November and October, Venezuela must pay almost $5 billion in debt. Barring lots of help from China -- one of Venezuela's popular sources of finance -- experts believe Venezuela probably will default.

CNNMoney (New York) First published February 25, 2016: 12:24 PM ET

http://money.cnn.com/2016/02/25/news/economy/venezuela-gold-debt/?hl=1&noRedirect=1
 

the_shootist

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Why don't they just print some? It worked out well for a long time with the Fed
 

gringott

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And POOF! It's gone.
 

Uglytruth

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They should have sent paper gold. Easier to ship with just the touch of a button.
 

Irons

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"There are not enough dollars to pay their external debts," says Mauro Roca, an economist at Goldman Sachs.

I'm sure he had a tiny little banker boner when he typed that.
 

Goldhedge

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When they go into default... the IMF merely needs to send in an economic hit man to lend them a billion dollars...just pay us the interest.


Which is how they got into this mess in the first place.
 

FunnyMoney

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They will run out of gold prior to running out of debt.
 

earplugs

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should have kept it and did what iceland did.
 

Usury

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Why don't they just print some? It worked out well for a long time with the Fed

I get the impression these are US Dollar-denominated debts.
 

Scorpio

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that is the beauty of pricing oil in dollars,

it becomes the world standard, then the debts also tie back to the buck