workin man
- Thread starter stonedywankanobe
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Said the blind roofer!
same for all skilled trades...
... but the bad ones often charge as much / or more - than the good ones... Gotta rely on "word of mouth"... and "visiting previous projects"...
The magic goo!
with some spray "flex seal " on top........good as new ....or at least another year
But wait, that's not all.with some spray "flex seal " on top........good as new ....or at least another year
Exactly. I haven't spent a penny on advertising since making the plunge into running my own show about 15 years ago. So there's little need to "earn their trust" because their trusted source already did it for them which makes the whole process much easier and there's a lot less stress.
Whad'ya know, just what I did 3 years ago.with some spray "flex seal " on top........good as new ....or at least another year
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Never happens
Remodeling Market Continues to Surge Despite Potential Headwinds
What goes up must come down. Despite 12.1% YOY growth, Zonda forecasts remodeling activity will decrease in 2022 due to a softened existing housing market.
www.remodeling.hw.net
Remodeling
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK/RRI
REMODELING
Remodeling Market Continues to Surge Despite Potential Headwinds
Despite 12.1% YOY growth, Zonda forecasts remodeling activity will decrease in 2022 due to a softened existing housing market.
By Vincent Salandro
Zonda’s Residential Remodeling Index (RRI) posted an all-time high reading of 146.5 in the second quarter of 2021, marking a historically strong gain of 12.1% from the second quarter of 2020. According to the RRI, big-ticket residential remodeling spending in the second quarter increased 1.8% from the first quarter of 2021.
The reading of 146.5 indicates economic conditions known to impact remodeling are 46.5% higher than the old peak in 2007. The second quarter reading marks the 37th consecutive quarter of annual and quarter-over-quarter growth since national remodeling activity bottomed in 2011. Zonda said the RRI has averaged annual gains of 12.3% over the last four quarters. The last time the RRI average YOY increases of 10% or more was in 2005.
The second quarter RRI reading was stronger than initially forecast and Zonda said expectations for the remainder of 2021 have firmed as well. Annual growth in 2021 is now expected to beat 2020’s growth by 0.2% and the RRI model now predicts remodeling and replacement activity will decrease slightly in 2022 before growing thereafter. The first quarter 2021 RRI projected remodeling growth would only flatten in 2022 before growing in 2023.
The updated forecast reflects expectations that the housing market will cool off in 2022 as mortgage rates rise. The RRI is projected to average annual growth of 9.7% in 2021 before a decrease of 1.6% in 2022. In 2023 and 2024, the RRI forecasts stable growth rates of 2% for the remodeling market will be observed.
The remodeling and replacement market has experienced historically strong rates of growth in the middle of 2021, coinciding with red-hot activity in the existing home market, according to Zonda. Existing home sales reached their highest levels since 2006 in 2020 and despite the emergence of some buyer hesitancy due to soaring prices, sales are expected to grow by 6% in 2021. Zonda forecasts that as mortgage rates tick higher in 2022, sales and price appreciation will moderate, leading to a cooling of the housing market. Subsequently, year-over-year comparisons for remodeling activity are also expected to taper in 2022.
Zonda said continued GDP growth and employment will help buoy remodeling activity when the housing market cools. However, the emergence of the COVID-19 delta variance and non-transitory inflation represent risk factors for the market’s future recovery.
Zonda estimates the number of pro-worthy remodeling projects worth $1,000 or more completed in 2020 was 14.4 million. For 2021, Zonda forecasts the number will increase to 15.7 million. While demand remains strong for remodelers and homeowners are increasingly willing to spend on larger discretionary projects once again, shortages in qualified labor and building products are limiting some project potential and creating backlogs, according to Zonda.
As part of the RRI estimation, Zonda predicts 382 of 384 observed metropolitan statistical areas will see growth in annual remodeling project volume in 2021. Among those markets, the average growth rate is expected to be 8.2%
The RRI is based on a statistical model that takes into account data such as household level remodeling permits and consumer-reported remodeling and replacement projects. It uses a model to predict the number and dollar volume of home improvement and replacement projects nationwide worth at least $1,000 in 381 metropolitan statistical areas and nationwide.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Vincent SalandroVincent Salandro
Vincent Salandro is an associate editor for Remodeling and ProSales. He also covers products for the Journal of Light Construction and has stories appearing in other Hanley Wood publications, including Builder. He earned a B.A. in journalism and a B.S. in economics from American University.
Just scored about 20 each of pT 2x6x8 & 2x6x12's. Very solid lumber. Also some 2x12 (cut)stringers and miss. Neighbors of client renovating.
Over $400 if bought new.
Over $400 if bought new.
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Not every day you have a hawk land on your work truck while actually driving down the road! Was going about 15 mph checking the level of the plant water reservoir when I saw this thing in my side mirror for a fraction of a second then heard her on the top of the cab of the truck.
We bring in a company with these trained birds to keep the geese out of our ponds. Still didnt expect this though.
We bring in a company with these trained birds to keep the geese out of our ponds. Still didnt expect this though.
Very Cool Smooth. Only thing cooler would be if she would bring you a fresh kill to grill.!!!!
You were actually able to get out and snap a pic without scaring him off?
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Yeah, was able to slowly stop the truck get out and take several pictures. They use a few different hawks but they are all very well trained. No fear of humans, they just want to see if you have any food. One of the ladies let me wear the glove once while she called the hawk in. Cool experience. Think I've posted the pic before.
"You may be badass, but you're not smoothster holding a hawk badass."
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Having seen a young hawk struggle to deal with a squirrel in my back yard, I am curious how they work over geese.
Goslings sure, but full grown geese are pretty tough.
Have you seen them do their thing?
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yeah, I have watched them. Mostly they just chase the geese away. The geese dont want anything to do with them. And honestly we dont want the hawks killing the geese. Our water treatment plant is right on the bay with a public road between the the plant and the bay. Bad publicity. These hawks mostly hunt rabbits but I know they are capable of killing a goose.
Dang Misty.. you need to find some smarter clients.. or charge one heck of lot more $$
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true
A quick kitchen cabinet swap for a buddy.
that is fancy.
Misty
Just being curious.
Is there any reason (code, logic etc) why they are not joined earlier?
Thanks in advance.
Golden Regards
Uncle
Photo op
Hey up Uncle.
Prior my involvement there was only a singular downspout carrying the water from half of the carport, half of her unit AND a quarter of her neighbor's unit!
Half of her carport drained into the upper downspout that you can see feeding directly into the gutter and downspout below.
I put new siding on the wall, ran the upper(carport) downspout independently and joined the two downstream.
It just so happened that I was under that landing replacing the dryer vent the day before a deluge came. That next day my plan was to finish installing the gutter system originally pictured and of course that was the day that we got two inches of rain in an hour! So I was just getting set up and started when the rain came so I was actually able to see the amount of water coming through that singular downspout which was absolutely incredible to me. It was literally like a 4 inch fire hose on full throttle. I had made a temporary feeder into the drain down below but at taking it apart to crawl through and get to the dryer vent so when that rain was coming it was literally pouring right next to the house through that downspout and I held up my temporary section the catch the water and feed it into the drain and I couldn't believe the amount of water pressure in the sheer volume of water coming through that one downspout. I wouldn't have believed it if I didn't see it myself. So the reason I joined them so far downstream was due to the position of the existing downspout that the two feet into the position of running the downspouts above straight instead of giving them turns and trying to eliminate back up at their turn. Hope that makes sense. What a mess.
New siding (LP Smartside) and new, straight run uppper(carport) downspout
some of that looks familiar.
you been over at my house?!
<heh>
BF
you been over at my house?!
<heh>
BF
Quality repairs...
Framing Houses in Minnesota
Good they had a gutter cover. Damn, braugh, how far up the roof does the water damage go?
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That is a lot of nasty wood. I would like to see good outcome.
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Was laughing my ass off on that one. I use to hang out with an old crusty plumber who would Shart on a weekly basis. Always would end with “ That’s going to burn when it dries”.
Doesn't seem to go up further than I filled those shingles back. Which by the way was shockingly easy to do. I guess even tar paper was too much to ask for.
And it's an 88 yr old Scottish widow, who had paid for the work I've recently showcased. So to charge her as little as possible while doing a proper job trying to remedy a crackhead abortion is, as usual my toughest challenge. Taking pride in my work and leaving a mark of excellent quality supersede material gain. It pays off in many respects.
While working on that last job with the messed-up roof, among other things, I was approached by 3 other residents of the neighborhood and I'm sure it's only going to expand from there because this place is Crackhead Construction Central!